| MATCHUP | North Dakota State Bison | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-2 | 3-6 |
| Spread | -6.5 -112 | +6.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | -245 | +200 |
| Total | Over 38.5 (-105) | Under 38.5 (-115) |
| Where | Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 11:00 PM EST | |
| TV | CW | |
North Dakota State vs Hawaii Prediction
Usually, Hawaii is a tough out on the island, but that hasn’t been the case this season, where it’s 1-3 SU. Hawaii just doesn’t have the horses offensively, and its defense can’t stop the run. Hawaii is 136th in rushing offense, 120th in scoring offense, and is 100th in rushing defense. Can’t stop the run, can’t run the ball; it’s a recipe for bad football and a lot of losses. North Dakota State isn’t perfect, but it’s one of the best defenses in college football, and that’s enough for this spot.
North Dakota State is second in total defense, passing defense, and scoring defense. That combined with Hawaii’s lack of offensive success, the Bison should have no problem in this spot. I’ll lay the touchdown with North Dakota State on Saturday night. Hawaii isn’t scaring anybody this season, even at home.
North Dakota State Bison Betting Preview
The North Dakota State Bison beat UTEP, lost to New Mexico, and they play Northern Illinois next. The North Dakota State Bison have won 19 of their last 22 games. Nathan Hayes is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 1,710 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Hayes has been sacked 10 times this season. Jackson Williams has 614 yards and 1 touchdown on 42 catches. Reis Kessel has 345 yards and 4 touchdowns on 27 catches. Mekhi Collins has 227 yards and 4 touchdowns on 18 catches.
The North Dakota State Bison’s ground game is averaging 157.4 yards per contest, and Myles Mitchell leads the way with 403 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, North Dakota State is allowing 11.9 points and 248.8 yards per game. Donovan Woolen leads North Dakota State with 66 tackles. Kelton McCaslin has 5 sacks. Marion Moore has 5 interceptions.
Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors beat Northern Illinois and UTEP, and they play Nevada next. The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors have lost 4 of their last 6 games. Micah Alejado is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 2,489 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Alejado has been sacked 22 times this season. Kainoa Carvalho has 421 yards on 38 catches. Audric Harris has 409 yards and 1 touchdown on 20 catches. Devin Alves has 329 yards and 1 touchdown on 18 catches.
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors ground game is averaging 93.1 yards per contest, and DeVon Rice leads the way with 444 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing 23.3 points and 359.3 yards per game. Jamih Otis leads Hawai’i with 64 tackles. Noah Wily has 2.5 sacks. Jeremiah Hughes has 3 interceptions.
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
- Hawaii has won five of its last six November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Hawaii has covered the spread in each of its last nine November games at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex.
- North Dakota State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the North Dakota State Bison will win
- The road team has won each of Hawaii’s last three games.
- Hawaii has lost each of its last three games against conference opponents at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex.
- Hawaii has lost the first half in four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Hawaii’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of North Dakota State’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Wynden Ho’ohuli/Denver Harris/Elijah Palmer/Brett Karhu lead the Mountain West Conference for forced fumbles (3) this season.
North Dakota State Bison Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Marion Moore leads the Mountain West Conference for interceptions (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Hawaii ranks T124th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (3.7).
- Hawaii ranks 17th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (278.8).
- North Dakota State ranks 1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (62.5).
- North Dakota State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (11.9).