| MATCHUP | New Mexico Lobos | San José State Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 6-1 | 4-4 |
| Spread | -14.5 -110 | +14.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -650 | +470 |
| Total | Over 42.5 (-108) | Under 42.5 (-112) |
| Where | CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA | |
| When | Saturday, October 31, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | MW+ | |
New Mexico vs San Jose State Prediction
You can argue for a letdown spot for New Mexico after a big win over North Dakota State. However, New Mexico entered this season as a sneaky playoff contender, and it’s 6-1 both SU and ATS. San Jose State has issues stepping up in competition, and that comes down to being 118th in scoring offense.
The Spartans have been held to 13 or fewer points in three of their last five games. That’s not going to fly against the Lobos. New Mexico is just too consistent both in terms of winning and putting money in our pocket. No reason to step in front of things. Give me New Mexico in a comfortable road win.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos beat Hawaii and North Dakota State, and they play Nevada next. New Mexico has won 4 straight games. Toa Fa’avae is completing 56.3 percent of his passes for 790 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Bailen George and Cade Keith have combined for 527 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while DJ Darling has 6 receptions.
The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 210.6 yards per contest, and Scottre Humphrey leads the way with 453 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 11.3 points and 261 yards per game. Mercury Swaim leads the New Mexico Lobos with 43 tackles, Brett Karhu has 5 sacks, and Tavian Combs has 4 interceptions.
San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview
The San Jose State Spartans lost to Nevada, beat UTEP, and play Northern Illinois next. San Jose State has split its last 8 games. Luke Weaver is completing 63 percent of his passes for 1,620 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Cooper Hoch and Carson Clark have combined for 889 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Jerry McClure has 30 receptions.
The San Jose State Spartans’ ground game is averaging 129.5 yards per contest, and Jabari Bates leads the way with 586 yards and 1 touchdown. On defense, San Jose State allows 22.5 points and 379.9 yards per game. Dylan Lee leads the San Jose State Spartans with 71 tackles, Jayland McGlothen has 6 sacks, and Caleb Womack has 2 interceptions.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- San Jose State has won 10 of its last 11 October home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- New Mexico has lost four of its last six October games as a road favorite.
- San Jose State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against teams from New Mexico.
- New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games in October.
- New Mexico has lost the first half in each of its last seven road games in October.
- The home team has won the first quarter in each of the last five games between New Mexico and San Jose State.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won each of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- San Jose State has lost each of its last 14 games as an underdog in California.
- The road team has covered the spread in eight of San Jose State’s last nine games.
- San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five home games.
- New Mexico has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- The favorite has won the first half in 10 of New Mexico’s last 11 games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Jose State’s last seven games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of New Mexico’s last six games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Carson Clark leads the Mountain West Conference for receiving yards (551) this season.
New Mexico Lobos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Tavian Combs ranks T3rd among FBS players for interceptions (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Jose State ranks 137th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.3).
- San Jose State ranks 136th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:04).
- New Mexico ranks 1st among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (11.3).
- New Mexico has recorded the most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).