| MATCHUP | Navy Midshipmen | UTSA Roadrunners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-3 | 5-1 |
| Spread | +6.5 102 | -6.5 -122 |
| Moneyline | +210 | -258 |
| Total | Over 55.5 (-110) | Under 55.5 (-110) |
| Where | Alamodome, San Antonio, TX | |
| When | Saturday, October 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPNU | |
In this article, we will formulate a Navy vs UTSA Prediction for this College Football Week 7 matchup on Saturday, October 17th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
UTSA Roadrunners Preview
UTSA has a 5-1 record and a 2-0 record in the American. They are coming off a 31-24 home win against South Florida and will face Tulane and Florida Atlantic next.
Offensively, UTSA averages 31.3 points per game, ranking 60th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.8 points per game, which is 94th. UTSA averages 401.5 total yards per game (210.5 passing and 191 rushing), while allowing 387.2 total yards per game (184.7 rushing and 202.5 passing).
Owen McCown leads UTSA with 1,219 passing yards with 68.7% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Will Henderson III leads the team in rushing yards with 484, while DJ Allen has a team-high 269 receiving yards and 18 receptions. Defensively, Brandon Tucker, Jr. has a team-high 46 total tackles (21 of them solo), while Owen Pewee leads the team with one sack.
Navy Midshipmen Preview
Navy has a 2-3 record and a 1-2 record in the American. They are coming off a 34-26 home win against Tulsa and will face North Texas and Notre Dame next.
Offensively, Navy averages 27 points per game, ranking 84th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.4 points per game, which is 70th. Navy averages 401.4 total yards per game (102 passing and 299.4 rushing), while allowing 322 total yards per game (96.6 rushing and 225.4 passing).
Jackson Gutierrez leads Navy with 439 passing yards with 46.8% completed passes and 4 touchdowns and a team-high 505 rushing yards, while Truman Brasfield has a team-high 165 receiving yards and 3 receptions. Defensively, Coleman Cauley has a team-high 41 total tackles (27 of them solo), while MarcAnthony Parker leads the team with 4 sacks.
Navy Midshipmen @ UTSA Roadrunners Betting Trends: Week 7
Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win
- UTSA has won each of its last 11 home games in October.
- Navy has lost each of its last 10 games as an underdog against teams from Texas.
- Navy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against teams from Texas.
- UTSA has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 home games against conference opponents.
- UTSA has won the first half in 23 of its last 26 October games as a favorite.
- UTSA has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight games at Alamodome.
Why the Navy Midshipmen will win
- Navy has won nine of its last 10 October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The underdog has covered the spread in four of UTSA’s last five games.
- The underdog has won the first half in three of Navy’s last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UTSA’s last 13 games at Alamodome have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Navy’s last eight games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
UTSA Roadrunners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Michael Petro ranks T8th amongst FBS players for made field goals (11) this season.
Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Braxton Woodson ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (7.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UTSA ranks T122nd among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (129).
- UTSA ranks 119th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (184.7).
- Navy has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
- Navy has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
Navy vs UTSA Prediction
In this Navy vs UTSA prediction, UTSA is coming as -6.5 home favorites. UTSA has been excellent this season with just one loss and has been scoring an average of 45 points per game at home this season, having the 60th-best overall offense in the entire country. On the flip side, Navy is 1-3 in its last 4 games and 1-4 against the spread this season, so I don’t expect them to keep this one close. The value here lies with the home team, so take UTSA and lay the -6.5 points.