| MATCHUP | Miami (OH) Redhawks | Massachusetts Minutemen |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Spread | -2.5 -108 | +2.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | -130 | +110 |
| Total | Over 47.5 (-110) | Under 47.5 (-110) |
| Where | Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Amherst, MA | |
| When | Saturday, October 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
UMass Minutemen Preview
UMass has a 4-1 record and are coming off a 14-38 home loss against Eastern Michigan. They will face Buffalo and UConn next. Offensively, UMass averages 31.8 points per game, ranking 64th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 17.8 points per game, which is 34th. Massachusetts averages 343.2 total yards per game (166.2 passing and 177 rushing), while allowing 308.8 total yards per game (98.2 rushing and 210.6 passing).
William Watson III leads UMass with 820 passing yards with 74% completed passes and 7 touchdowns, also adding a team-high 167 rushing yards. T.Y. Harding has a team-high 19 receptions for 236 receiving yards. Defensively, Timmy Hinspeter has a team-high 40 total tackles (9 of them solo), while William Depaepe leads the team with 2 sacks.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Preview
Miami (OH) has a 2-3 record and are coming off a 20-24 home loss against Bowling Green. They will face Akron and Central Michigan next. Offensively, Miami (OH) averages 26.8 points per game, ranking 85th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.2 points per game, which is 114th. Miami (OH) averages 371.2 total yards per game (271 passing and 100.2 rushing), while allowing 399.8 total yards per game (109.8 rushing and 290 passing).
David McComb leads Miami (OH) with 1,121 passing yards with 63.1% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Rodney Nelson leads the team in rushing yards with 154, while Damarion Witten has a team-high 12 receptions for 274 receiving yards. Defensively, Malcolm McCain has a team-high 39 total tackles (17 of them solo), while Grant Lyons leads the team with 2 sacks.
Miami (OH) RedHawks @ Massachusetts Minutemen Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win
- Massachusetts has won four of its last five games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in three of the last four games between Miami (OH) and Massachusetts.
- Massachusetts has won the first half in four of its last five games.
- Massachusetts has won the first quarter in three of its last four games.
Why the Miami (OH) RedHawks will win
- Massachusetts has lost each of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
- The favorite has won 19 of Miami (OH)’s last 20 games.
- Miami (OH) has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 games as a favorite.
- Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 home games against teams from Ohio.
- Massachusetts has lost the first half in each of its last four games against teams from Ohio.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Massachusetts’ last seven games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of Miami (OH)’s last 10 games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
Massachusetts Minutemen Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Jahmad Harmon ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Damarion Witten ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (22.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Massachusetts ranks T11th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (6).
- Massachusetts ranks T12th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (6.8).
- Miami (OH) has given up the largest 2nd quarter lead to win a game this season – 21 points vs Cincinnati.
- Miami (OH) ranks 135th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (6.0).
Miami (OH) vs UMass Prediction
In this Miami (OH) vs UMass prediction, Miami is coming as -2.5 road favorites. UMass has only one loss this season but two of its three home wins have been against FCS teams. Still, they have a top-35 defense in the country, while Miami has a negative point differential this season. Miami has been dominating UMass historically, having won all but one of their six overall meetings, but have been struggling to cover, as they are 2-4 ATS in those meetings. I like UMass to keep this one close at home, so take UMass and the +2.5 points.