Marshall vs Missouri State Prediction 9/19/2026 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 5, 2026; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA; Marshall Thundering Herd quarterback Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (7) throws a pass during the first quarter against the Penn State Nittany Lions at West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Marshall Thundering Herd
Missouri State Bears
Team Records
1-1
1-1
Spread
-4 -110
+4 -110
Moneyline
-192
+160
Total
Over 53.5 (-108)
Under 53.5 (-112)
Where
Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO
When
Saturday, September 19, 2026
Time
06:30 PM EDT
TV
CBSSN
The Marshall Thundering Herd and the Missouri State Bears meet in week 3 college football action from Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction.
Marshall Thundering Herd Recap
The Marshall Thundering Herd come into this game looking to add on to their 28-26 win over Middle Tennessee last time out to sit at 1-1 on the year. After this game, Marshall will head home for a game against Gardner Webb.
Herd Looking To Build On First W
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson has thrown for 194 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions on 72.7% passing while also leading the Thundering Herd in rushing with 73 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. Zero more Thundering Herd have at least 100 rushing yards as well this season including Jo’Shon Barbie who has 49 yards and 0 TDs while Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw leads Marshall in receiving with 96 receiving yards and 5 catches along with 1 touchdown while Toby Payne leads the team with 9 catches along with 61 receiving yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. On defense, Caleb Clark-Glover has a team-high 21 total tackles while Kelvon McBride and Nate Blanc lead the team with 1 sack each, and Marshall’s defense as a whole has combined for 2 sacks and 1 interception so far this season.
Missouri State Bears Recap
The Missouri State Bears come into this game looking to add on to their 48-14 win over Lindenwood last time out to improve to 1-1 this season. After this game, Missouri State will head on the road for a game against SMU.
Bears Looking To Pick Up Home Upset
Roman Gagliano has thrown for 443 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception on 61.6% passing while Antonio Martin leads the Blue Raiders in rushing with 135 rushing yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. Zero more Blue Raiders have at least 100 rushing yards as well this season including Roman Gagliano who has 83 yards and 1 TD while Cam’ron Lacy leads Middle Tennessee in receiving with 190 receiving yards and 17 catches to lead Middle Tennessee along with 2 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Korey Smith has a team-high 16 total tackles while Middle Tennessee’s defense as a whole has combined for 0 sacks and 0 interceptions so far this season.
Marshall has lost three of its last four games as a road favorite.
Missouri State has won three of its last four home games.
Marshall has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
The underdog has covered the spread in eight of Marshall’s last 10 games.
Missouri State has won the first quarter in three of its last four September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Marshall has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Marshall Thundering Herd will win
Marshall has won each of its last four road games against opponents from the Conference USA.
Missouri State has lost four of its last five games.
Marshall has covered the spread in each of its last four road games against opponents from the Conference USA.
Missouri State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
Missouri State has lost the first half in each of its last eight games as an underdog.
Total Points Facts
Each of Marshall’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of Missouri State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Missouri State Bears Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 3, Isaiah Myers ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (31.0) this season.
Marshall Thundering Herd Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 3, Cooper Heimbach ranks 4th in the Sun Belt Conference amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (45.3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
Missouri State ranks 135th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (22.5).
Missouri State ranks T135th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-12.0).
One of Marshall’s two games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
Marshall has lost the third quarter in each of its last five games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction
I’m on Missouri State and the points here. I just wasn’t left all that convinced with Marshall after that last game and for a team that I thought was heads and shoulders better than their opponent like Marshall was, it sure didn’t look like it in that game. I think Missouri State can grind here just like Middle did and make a game of this so give me Missouri State and the points.
