| MATCHUP | Iowa State Cyclones | Baylor Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Spread | +10 -115 | -10 -105 |
| Moneyline | +295 | -375 |
| Total | Over 51.5 (-102) | Under 51.5 (-118) |
| Where | McLane Stadium, Waco, TX | |
| When | Saturday, November 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FS1 | |
Iowa State vs Baylor Prediction
Baylor has shown flashes of being the team many thought it would be before the season started. Unfortunately, it’s just that. Flashes. Baylor has a few questionable results, and we can’t forget scoring just six points against TCU.As I’ve said before, Iowa State is usually a tough out in the underdog role and has games every year where it springs upsets. We saw it last week as 9.5-point underdogs where the Cyclones dropped 51 points on OK States head and won. Maybe that creates a letdown spot here, but I don’t think highly enough on Baylor to care. I’d expect another high-scoring back-and-forth game. I want the points in my pocket. Give me Iowa State.
Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview
The Iowa State Cyclones lost to Arizona, beat Oklahoma State, and they play Cincinnati next. Iowa State has split its last 8 games. Jaylen Raynor is completing 59.7 percent of his passes for 1,416 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Jamal Polite Jr. and Omari Hayes have combined for 532 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Cody Jackson has 13 receptions.
The Iowa State Cyclones’ ground game is averaging 176.6 yards per contest, and Aiden Flora leads the way with 937 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 27.3 points and 390.5 yards per game. Sullivan Schlimgen leads the Iowa State Cyclones with 79 tackles, Isaac Terell has 3 sacks, and Beau Goodwin has 2 interceptions.
Baylor Bears Betting Preview
The Baylor Bears lost to Kansas, beat UCF, and they play BYU next. Baylor has won 5 of its last 7 games. DJ Lagway is completing 53.3 percent of his passes for 1,671 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Gavin Freeman and Louis Brown IV have combined for 1,137 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jadon Porter has 14 receptions.
The Baylor Bears’ ground game is averaging 150.9 yards per contest, and Dawson Pendergrass leads the way with 338 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 15.3 points and 322.8 yards per game. Travion Barnes leads the Baylor Bears with 55 tackles, Bo Onu has 3.5 sacks, and Devon Jordan has 4 interceptions.
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- The home team has won each of Iowa State’s last four games.
- Iowa State has lost 15 of its last 17 games as an underdog in Texas.
- Iowa State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Baylor has covered the spread in four of its last five November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The home team has won the first half in five of Iowa State’s last six games.
Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win
- Iowa State has won three of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Baylor has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents at McLane Stadium.
- Baylor has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- Iowa State has covered the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Baylor has lost the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Iowa State’s last six road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Baylor’s last six games as a home favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Baylor Bears Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Palmer Williams ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (49.0) this season.
Iowa State Cyclones Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Aiden Flora ranks 7th amongst FBS players for rushing yards (937) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Baylor ranks T9th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+5.8).
- Baylor ranks T9th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (30.0).
- Iowa State ranks 1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Iowa State ranks 127th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (8.0).