| MATCHUP | Fresno State Bulldogs | San Diego State Aztecs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Spread | -7.5 -105 | +7.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | -305 | +245 |
| Total | Over 45.5 (-112) | Under 45.5 (-108) |
| Where | Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA | |
| When | Saturday, October 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
The Fresno State Bulldogs and San Diego State Aztecs meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Snapdragon Stadium. Here’s a Fresno State vs. San Diego State Prediction. This article will include a Fresno State vs. San Diego State Pick.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs beat Washington State, lost to Boise State, and they play Oregon State next. The Fresno State Bulldogs have won 13 of their last 18 games. Jayden Mandal is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 1,252 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ezekiel Avit and Josiah Freeman have combined for 726 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jahlil McClain has 17 receptions.
The Fresno State Bulldogs’ ground game is averaging 139.7 yards per contest, and Rayshon Lake leads the way with 286 yards and 1 touchdown. On defense, Fresno State allows 20 points and 384.3 yards per game. K’vion Thunderbird leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 52 tackles, Dylan Hampsten has 3 sacks, and Simeon Harris has 3 interceptions.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs lost to Oregon State, beat Texas State, and they play Colorado State next. San Diego State has lost 6 of its last 8 games. Jayden Denegal is completing 53.9 percent of his passes for 787 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Nathan Acevedo and Jacob Bostick have combined for 278 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Javion Kinnard has 6 receptions.
The San Diego State Aztecs’ ground game is averaging 134 yards per contest, and Javion Kinnard leads the way with 355 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 35 points and 477.8 yards per game. Sione Hala leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 63 tackles, Djibril Rahman has 3 sacks, and Mike Lindsay has 2 interceptions.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won eight of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- San Diego State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Fresno State has lost the first half in three of its last four October games as a road favorite.
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
- Fresno State has won 17 of its last 18 games as a favorite against teams from California.
- San Diego State has lost four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Fresno State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
- San Diego State has lost the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Diego State’s last five games against teams from California have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Fresno State’s last five road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
San Diego State Aztecs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Lucky Sutton leads San Diego State for touchdowns (3) this season.
Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Simeon Harris ranks T4th amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Diego State ranks 138th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (24:11).
- San Diego State has recorded fewer total yards than its opponents in each of its last five games- the longest active streak in the FBS.
- Fresno State ranks T131st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (20.0).
- Fresno State ranks T9th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (7).
Fresno State vs San Diego State Prediction
As I’ve said in past write-ups, San Diego State has lost its way as it doesn’t play defense and isn’t strong in the trenches. San Diego State has gone soft and just allowed 66 points to Oregon State. Fresno State is a respectable team that’s better than its record and just gave Boise State a scare last week. Fresno State has also covered five straight games and has covered 8 of its last 10 games overall. I don’t love the hook on top of a key number, but there’s a gap between these teams. Give me Fresno State in a comfortable road win. San Diego State just doesn’t compete against decent teams.