| MATCHUP | Florida State Seminoles | Louisville Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Spread | +3.5 -108 | -3.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | +150 | -180 |
| Total | Over 59.5 (-108) | Under 59.5 (-112) |
| Where | L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY | |
| When | Friday, October 9, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview
The Florida State Seminoles enter Friday night’s matchup with a 3-2 overall win-loss record (3-1 home record, 0-1 mark on the road), including victories over New Mexico State, Central Arkansas and Virginia.The Florida State offense has been productive through five games played in 2026. The Seminoles are averaging 33.2 points per game (35th in FBS) while producing 419 total yards per contest. Florida State has accumulated 225 passing yards and 194 rushing yards per game which ranks 28th in the nation.
Shifting our focus to the defensive side of the football, Florida State has allowed 21.6 points per game while surrendering 384.8 total yards per contest. Examining the data just presented more closely, the Seminoles have been stout against the run, allowing 119.2 rushing yards per game this season.
Through five games played in 2026, quarterback Ashton Daniels has compiled 1,111 passing yards, six passing touchdowns, 278 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns, illustrating his ability as a passer and running the football. Talented wide receiver Duce Robinson has been a major contributor in the receiving department, accumulating 15 receptions and 280 receiving yards. Sophomore running back Ousmane Kromah has amassed 477 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns.
Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview
The Louisville Cardinals enter Friday night’s contest with a 2-3 record (2-2 record at home, 0-1 mark on the road) after posting victories over Villanova and SMU while losing games to Ole Miss, NC State and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.The Louisville offense has been impressive in 2026. Let’s dive into the Louisville Cardinals relevant team data to better shed light on my previous statement. The Cardinals are averaging 38.6 points per game while generating 486 total yards per contest, including 287.4 passing yards and 198.6 rushing yards per game.
Defensively, Louisville has allowed 29.2 points per game through five contests this season. The Cardinals have struggled to stop opposing passing attacks in 2026, allowing 266.8 passing yards per game.
Quarterback Lincoln Kienholz has compiled 1,394 passing yards, nine passing touchdowns and only one interception. Running back Keyjuan Brown has amassed 367 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. Wide receiver Tre Richardson has been Louisville’s top receiving threat, accumulating 28 receptions and 445 receiving yards in five games played this season.
Why the Florida State Seminoles will win.
• Offensive production. The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 33.2 points per game this season.• Rushing attack. Ousmane Kromah has compiled 477 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns this season.
• Defensive stability. Florida State is allowing only 21.6 points per game compared to Louisville’s 29.2 points allowed per contest.
• Recent form. The Seminoles have won two consecutive games by a combined score of 72-14.
Why the Louisville Cardinals will win.
• Home field advantage. The Louisville Cardinals will play this game at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium.• Quarterback play. Lincoln Kienholz has compiled 1,394 passing yards, nine touchdowns and only one interception this season.
• Offensive firepower. Louisville is averaging 38.6 points per game and 486 total yards per contest.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals Prediction
In my opinion, the way to go in this matchup is the total rather than a side. Why? The Louisville Cardinals have been one of the more explosive offensive teams in the ACC this season, averaging 38.6 points per game while generating 486 total yards per contest.Similarly, Florida State’s offense has been productive this season, averaging 33.2 points per game while accumulating 419 total yards per contest. Running back Ousmane Kromah has been a major contributor, compiling 477 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns, while quarterback Ashton Daniels has amassed 1,111 passing yards.
Just as important, both defenses have shown vulnerability in the passing game. Louisville is allowing 29.2 points and 423 total yards per game, including 266.8 passing yards per contest, while Florida State has surrendered 265.6 passing yards per game this season.
With Louisville averaging 38.6 points per game, Florida State averaging 33.2 points per game, and both defenses having issues slowing opposing passing attacks, I envision a contest where offensive production drives the outcome. With that said, I am backing over 58.5 points in this game.