Florida Atlantic vs UL Monroe Prediction 9/26/2026 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 5, 2026; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida Atlantic Owls quarterback Caden Veltkamp (10) looks to throw against the Florida Gators during the second half at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Florida Atlantic Owls
UL Monroe Warhawks
Team Records
2-1
0-3
Spread
-12.5 -105
+12.5 -115
Moneyline
-485
+370
Total
Over 58.5 (-105)
Under 58.5 (-115)
Where
Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA
When
Saturday, September 26, 2026
Time
08:00 PM EDT
TV
ESPN+
The FAU Owls and the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks meet in week 4 college football action from Malone Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an FAU Owls vs. Louisiana Monroe Warhawks Prediction.
FAU Owls Recap
The FAU Owls come into this game looking to add on to their 16-10 win over FIU last time out to sit at 2-1 this season. After this game, FAU will head home for a game against Texas Southern.
Owls Win Back-To-Back Games
Caden Veltkamp has thrown for 866 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 71.1% passing while Ethan Ervin leads Florida Atlantic in rushing with 153 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. Leonard Farrow sits behind Ervin on the ground with 102 yards and 1 TD. Easton Messer leads the Owls in receiving with 337 yards on 23 catches along with 2 touchdowns, while Kelby Valtin trails with 263 yards on 24 catches along with 2 touchdowns. On defense, Joseph Sipp Jr. has a team-high 22 total tackles, while Sipp Jr. and Josh Roberts each lead the team with 1 sack. Bo Smothers-Nealy leads the unit with 2 interceptions. Florida Atlantic’s defense as a whole has combined for 3 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.
Louisiana Monroe Warhawks Recap
The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks come into this game looking to bounce back from a 38-35 loss to Southeastern Louisiana last time out to sit at 0-3 this season. After this game, the Warhawks will head on the road for a game against South Alabama.
Warhawks Looking For First Win
Austin Carlisle has thrown for 312 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions on 68.6% passing while also leading UL Monroe in rushing with 219 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. Bryson Roland sits behind Carlisle on the ground with 127 yards and 1 TD. Marcellus Jackson leads the Warhawks in receiving with 109 yards on 12 catches, while Parker Fulghum trails with 96 yards on 7 catches along with 1 touchdown. On defense, Noah Flemmings has a team-high 25 total tackles, while Carl Fauntroy, Taijh Overton, James Smith, and LuZavier Arnes each lead the team with 1 sack. Carl Fauntroy recorded the team’s lone interception. UL Monroe’s defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and 1 interception so far this season.
Florida Atlantic has lost each of its last 12 road games against non-conference opponents.
Louisiana-Monroe has won four of its last five September games as a home underdog.
Louisiana-Monroe has covered the spread in each of its last five September games as a home underdog.
Florida Atlantic has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games against non-conference opponents.
Florida Atlantic has lost the first half in seven of its last eight road games against non-conference opponents.
The home team has won the first quarter in eight of Florida Atlantic’s last 10 games.
Why the Florida Atlantic Owls will win
Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 11 games.
Florida Atlantic has won each of its last six games as a favorite.
Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games.
Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite.
Florida Atlantic has won the first quarter in each of its last five games as a favorite.
Florida Atlantic has won the first half in 18 of its last 19 September games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
Each of Florida Atlantic’s last four games against teams from Louisiana have gone UNDER the total points line.
Six of Louisiana-Monroe’s last seven home games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 4, Marcellus Jackson ranks T2nd in the Sun Belt Conference for receptions (16) this season.
Florida Atlantic Owls Player Prop Facts
Easton Messer has recorded 50+ receiving yards in nine consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 4.
Matchup/League Facts
Louisiana-Monroe ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (245.0).
Louisiana-Monroe ranks 135th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (42.0).
Florida Atlantic ranks 138th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-11.0).
Florida Atlantic has lost the fourth quarter in each of its last three games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
FAU Owls vs. Louisiana Monroe Warhawks Prediction
I’m on the Owls in this one. It’s a big number to lay on the road, but ULM is that bad. The Warhawks are coming off of a loss to an FCS opponent in SE Louisiana, but I think that’s just a precursor to what’s in store here. Give me FAU.
