Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts Prediction 10/3/2026 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 19, 2026; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Eastern Michigan Eagles quarterback Noah Kim (1) hands the football to running back Amareon Blue (15) during the second quarter against the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Massachusetts Minutemen
Team Records
2-3
4-0
Spread
+6 -112
-6 -108
Moneyline
+185
-225
Total
Over 48.5 (-110)
Under 48.5 (-110)
Where
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Amherst, MA
When
Saturday, October 3, 2026
Time
03:30 PM EDT
TV
ESPN+
The Eastern Michigan Eagles and the UMass Minutemen meet in week 5 college football action from McGuirk Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. UMass Minutemen Prediction.
Eastern Michigan Eagles Recap
The Eastern Michigan Eagles come into this game looking to add on to their 29-3 win over Lindenwood last time out to improve to 2-3 this season. After this game, Eastern Michigan will head on the road for a game against the Akron Zips.
Eagles Snap Three-Game Slide
Noah Kim has thrown for 968 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 61.3% passing while Amareon Blue leads Eastern Michigan in rushing with 243 yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. Braydon Bennett sits behind Blue on the ground with 153 yards and 1 TD. Benson Prosper leads the Eagles in receiving with 220 yards and 21 catches along with 1 TD, while Harold Mack trails with 215 yards and 20 catches. On defense, Zach Mowchan has a team-high 43 tackles while Eastern Michigan defense as a whole has combined for 9 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.
UMass Minutemen Recap
The UMass Minutemen come into this game looking to add on to their 35-6 win over Sacramento State last time out to improve to 4-0 on the year. After this game, UMass will take on Miami Ohio at home.
Minutemen Looking To Stay Undefeated
William Watson III has thrown for 610 yards, 6 touchdowns and 1 interception on 74.0% passing while Elijah Faulkner leads Massachusetts in rushing with 227 yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. Curtis Kimmons IV sits behind Faulkner on the ground with 189 yards and 2 TDs. T.Y. Harding leads the Minutemen in receiving with 221 yards and 13 catches along with 2 TDs, while Joseph Griffin Jr. trails with 134 yards and 8 catches. On defense, Timmy Hinspeter has a team-high 30 tackles while Massachusetts defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Eastern Michigan has lost each of its last 10 games as a road underdog.
Massachusetts has won each of its last four games.
The home team has covered the spread in four of Eastern Michigan’s last five games.
Eastern Michigan has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog.
Massachusetts has won the first quarter in each of its last six games as a favorite.
Eastern Michigan has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 games as a road underdog.
Why the Eastern Michigan Eagles will win
Massachusetts has lost each of its last nine home games against conference opponents.
Eastern Michigan has won each of its last four games against Massachusetts.
The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last four games between Eastern Michigan and Massachusetts.
Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against teams from Michigan.
Eastern Michigan has won the first quarter in three of its last four games as an underdog.
Massachusetts has lost the first half in each of its last four games against teams from Michigan.
Total Points Facts
Eight of Massachusetts’ last nine October games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Four of Eastern Michigan’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Massachusetts Minutemen Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 5, Jahmad Harmon ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.
Eastern Michigan Eagles Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 5, Noah Kim ranks 3rd in the Mid-American Conference for passing yards (968) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
Massachusetts ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
Massachusetts ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.8).
Eastern Michigan ranks 133rd among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (95.6).
Eastern Michigan ranks 132nd among FBS teams for yards per game this season (292.0).
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. UMass Minutemen Prediction
I’m on the Minutemen here. I know it’s important to try to figure out the jump off spot for the Minutemen as I don’t think UMass is going from 0-12 to 12-0, but Eastern Michigan hasn’t impressed me all that much and I think that until we really have a reason to jump off of UMass here, I think the Minutemen continue to take care of the inferior competition in the MAC. Once UMass gets a challenge, then we may have to look elsewhere, but for this matchup, I’ll lay it with UMass here.
