| MATCHUP | East Carolina Pirates | Charlotte 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-4 | 1-8 |
| Spread | -11.5 -112 | +11.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | -455 | +350 |
| Total | Over 45.5 (-105) | Under 45.5 (-115) |
| Where | Jerry Richardson Stadium, Charlotte, NC | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
East Carolina vs Charlotte Prediction
In this East Carolina vs Charlotte prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Saturday, November 14th, East Carolina is coming as -11.5 road favorites. East Carolina has been the far better team this season, facing a Charlotte squad that has won only once in its 9 games played and has been winless at home. The Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 games and 4-1 against the spread in their last 5, while being better both on the offensive and the defensive end than the 49ers, who have the second-worst defense in the whole country and a -18.6 point differential. East Carolina won their previous meeting against Charlotte last season by 48-22 and I expect them to win comfortably again today. Take East Carolina and lay the -10.5 points on the road.
Charlotte 49ers Preview
Charlotte has a 1-8 record and a 1-4 record in the American. They are coming off a 12-23 road loss against UAB and will face Navy next.
Offensively, Charlotte averages 19.7 points per game, ranking 125th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 38.3 points per game, which is 137th. Charlotte averages 318.3 total yards per game (201.4 passing and 116.9 rushing), while allowing 449.1 total yards per game (185.7 rushing and 263.4 passing). They average 60.7 plays per game and 5.2 yards per play on offense, while allowing 70.7 plays per game and 6.4 yards per play on defense. Charlotte averages 15.6 first downs per game on offense and 23.1 first downs per game on defense. They are averaging 1.8 turnovers per game and forcing 1.1 turnovers per game.
Conner Harrell leads Charlotte with 1,006 passing yards with 64% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Henry Rutledge leads the team in rushing yards with 454, while Jaden Barnes has a team-high 542 receiving yards and 54 receptions. Defensively, Gavin Willis has a team-high 75 total tackles (39 of them solo), while Collin Gill leads the team with 3 sacks.
East Carolina Pirates Preview
East Carolina has a 5-4 record and a 3-2 record in the American. They are coming off a 20-17 home win against South Florida and will face Army and Florida Atlantic next.
Offensively, East Carolina averages 23.6 points per game, ranking 101st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.3 points per game, which is 56th. East Carolina averages 352.1 total yards per game (190.6 passing and 161.6 rushing), while allowing 335.6 total yards per game (140.9 rushing and 194.7 passing). They average 68.6 plays per game and 5.1 yards per play on offense, while allowing 67.7 plays per game and 5 yards per play on defense. East Carolina averages 18.9 first downs per game on offense and 18.8 first downs per game on defense. They are averaging 1.7 turnovers per game and forcing 1.3 turnovers per game.
Emory Williams leads East Carolina with 891 passing yards with 63.9% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. TJ Engleman Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 695, while Ray Ray Joseph has a team-high 365 receiving yards and 40 receptions. Defensively, DJ Johnson Jr. has a team-high 60 total tackles (25 of them solo), while Preston Carr leads the team with 3 sacks.
East Carolina Pirates @ Charlotte 49ers Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Charlotte 49ers will win
- East Carolina has lost three of its last four road games against conference opponents.
- East Carolina has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against teams from North Carolina.
- Charlotte has covered the spread in six of its last eight games as an underdog against teams from North Carolina.
Why the East Carolina Pirates will win
- Charlotte has lost 17 of its last 18 games.
- East Carolina has won each of its last four games in North Carolina.
- Charlotte has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games at Jerry Richardson Stadium.
- The road team has covered the spread in 13 of Charlotte’s last 16 games.
- East Carolina has won the first half in five of its last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of East Carolina’s last seven games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Charlotte’s last four November games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Charlotte 49ers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Jaden Barnes leads Charlotte for receiving yards (542) this season.
East Carolina Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Ray Ray Joseph leads East Carolina for receptions (40) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Charlotte ranks 137th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (38.3).
- Charlotte ranks 137th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (11.0).
- East Carolina ranks 126th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (93.5).
- East Carolina ranks 125th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (32.3).