Central Arkansas vs Florida State Prediction 9/26/2026 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 7, 2026; Tallahassee, Florida, USA; Florida State Seminoles quarterback Ashton Daniels (14) looks to pass against the Southern Methodist Mustangs during the first half at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Central Arkansas Bears
Florida State Seminoles
Team Records
2-2
1-2
Where
Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
When
Saturday, September 26, 2026
Time
03:00 PM EDT
TV
ACC Network
The Central Arkansas Bears and the Florida State Seminoles meet in week 4 college football action from Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Central Arkansas Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles Prediction.
Central Arkansas Bears Recap
The Central Arkansas Bears come into this game looking to rebound from a 27-9 loss at the hands of SE Missouri State last time out to sit at 1-2 this season.
Bears Looking For Massive Upset
Donovyn Omolo has thrown for 671 yards, 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 64.0% passing while also leading Central Arkansas in rushing with 360 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. James Jointer sits behind Omolo on the ground with 113 yards and 1 TD. Tyrell Pollard leads the Bears in receiving with 200 yards on 10 catches along with 1 touchdown, while Dekarai Anderson trails with 166 yards on 20 catches. On defense, Ashtyn Williams has a team-high 47 total tackles, Deorion Cobbs and Jaylin Spencer share the team high with 1 sack each, and Bryson Adair leads the team with 3 interceptions. Central Arkansas’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Florida State Seminoles Recap
The Florida State Seminoles come into this game looking to rebound from a 50-36 loss at the hands of Alabama last time out to sit at 1-2 this season. After this game, Florida State will take on Virginia at home.
Seminoles Drop Back-To-Back Games
Ashton Daniels has thrown for 704 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 58.2% passing while Ousmane Kromah leads Florida State in rushing with 311 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns so far this season. Daniels sits behind Kromah on the ground with 108 yards and 4 TDs. Duce Robinson leads the Seminoles in receiving with 210 yards on 11 catches along with 1 touchdown, while Samuel Singleton Jr. trails with 163 yards on 8 catches along with 2 touchdowns. On defense, Ja’Bril Rawls has a team-high 22 total tackles, while Rawls, Mikai Gbayor, Jalen Anderson, and Blake Nicolson have each recorded 1 sack. Ashlynd Barker, Nehemiah Chandler, and Quindarrius Jones have each recorded 1 interception. Florida State’s defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.
Central Arkansas Bears @ Florida State Seminoles Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Florida State Seminoles will win
The home team has won eight of Florida State’s last nine games.
Florida State has covered the spread in each of its last three September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Florida State has won the first half in each of its last six home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Florida State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Central Arkansas Bears will win
Florida State has lost four of its last five games.
Florida State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-FBS teams.
Florida State has lost the first half in four of its last five games.
Total Points Facts
Each of Florida State’s last four home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Florida State Seminoles Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 4, Ashton Daniels ranks T13th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
Florida State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
Florida State ranks 137th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (340.7).
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles Prediction
I’m on the Bears and the points in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but I think this is just too many points for a Florida State team that’s done nothing to warrant laying this kind of price when you look at their level of production this season. I think that the Bears get beat up here, but I think we’re looking at 49-10 with the Bears sneaking in the backdoor for the cover here. Give me Central Arkansas in this one.
