| MATCHUP | California Golden Bears | NC State Wolfpack |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Spread | +7 -108 | -7 -112 |
| Moneyline | +215 | -265 |
| Total | Over 56.5 (-112) | Under 56.5 (-108) |
| Where | Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC | |
| When | Saturday, October 31, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ACC Network | |
California vs NC State Prediction
In this California vs NC State prediction, NC State is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records and both have been in bad form lately, with a 0-2 and 1-4 record in their last two and five games respectively. They both are also bad against the spread, so I see no value on either side. NC State is 5-1 to the over in its last 6 games, while California has allowed 100 total points in its last two games. Take the over 56.5 points in this one.
NC State Wolfpack Preview
NC State has a 3-4 record and a 1-3 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 28-31 road loss against Stanford and will face Duke and Syracuse next.
Offensively, NC State averages 32.3 points per game, ranking 47th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 28.1 points per game, which is 105th. NC State averages 419.9 total yards per game (257.6 passing and 162.3 rushing), while allowing 380 total yards per game (139.3 rushing and 240.7 passing).
CJ Bailey leads NC State with 1,763 passing yards with 65.3% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Jayden Scott leads the team in rushing yards with 358, while Keenan Jackson has a team-high 456 receiving yards and 30 receptions. Defensively, Raul Aguirre Jr. has a team-high 61 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Elijah Satchell leads the team with 4 sacks.
California Golden Bears Preview
California has a 3-5 record and a 2-3 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 20-59 road loss against SMU and will face Virginia and Stanford next.
Offensively, California averages 23.4 points per game, ranking 102nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 31.6 points per game, which is 119th. California averages 369.3 total yards per game (285.3 passing and 84 rushing), while allowing 399.4 total yards per game (189.4 rushing and 210 passing).
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele leads California with 1,555 passing yards with 68.0% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Adam Mohammed leads the team in rushing yards with 336, while Chase Hendricks has a team-high 498 receiving yards and 54 receptions. Defensively, Isaiah Crosby has a team-high 46 total tackles (30 of them solo), while JD McKinley leads the team with 3 sacks.
California Golden Bears @ NC State Wolfpack Betting Trends: Week 9
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- California has lost each of its last 10 road games in October.
- NC State has won seven of its last eight games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
- California has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in four of California’s last five games.
- NC State has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
- NC State has won the first half in each of its last eight games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
Why the California Golden Bears will win
- NC State has lost four of its last five games in October.
- NC State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in three of NC State’s last four games.
- The road team has won the first half in four of California’s last five games.
- California has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against teams from North Carolina.
Total Points Facts
- Each of NC State’s last five October games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of California’s last six games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
NC State Wolfpack Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Will Wilson leads NC State for touchdowns (8) this season.
California Golden Bears Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Kingston Lopa ranks T1st amongst FBS players for interceptions (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- NC State is one of only six FBS teams with 100% success rate on field goals and extra points this season.
- NC State ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.0).
- California ranks 138th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (91.7).
- California ranks 137th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (84.0).