| MATCHUP | Boise State Broncos | Western Michigan Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Spread | -7 -112 | +7 -108 |
| Moneyline | -285 | +230 |
| Total | Over 49.5 (-110) | Under 49.5 (-110) |
| Where | Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI | |
| When | Saturday, September 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos beat Memphis and South Dakota, and they play Utah State next. The Boise State Broncos have won 5 of their last 8 games. Maddux Madsen is completing 61.4 percent of his passes for 610 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rasean Jones and Akeem Wright have combined for 339 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Matt Wagner has 7 receptions.
The Boise State Broncos’ ground game averages 258.3 yards per contest, and Dylan Riley leads with 454 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 26 points and 431.7 yards per game. Boen Phelps leads the Boise State Broncos with 21 tackles, Max Stege has 1 sack, and Travis Anderson has 3 interceptions.
Western Michigan Broncos Betting Preview
The Western Michigan Broncos beat Monmouth and Rice, and play Buffalo next. The Western Michigan Broncos have won 12 of their last 14 games. Broc Lowry is completing 70.5 percent of his passes for 417 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aveion Chenault and Baylin Brooks have combined for 296 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Egypt Nelson has 6 receptions.
The Western Michigan Broncos ground game is averaging 165.7 yards per contest, and Jalen Buckley leads the way with 207 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Western Michigan is allowing 16 points and 345.7 yards per game. Justyce Betts leads the Western Michigan Broncos with 20 tackles, Domanick Moon has 1 sack, and Joey Pope has 2 pass deflections.
Why the Western Michigan Broncos will win
- Western Michigan has won each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Western Michigan has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams at Waldo Stadium.
- Boise State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a road favorite.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last 10 September games as a favorite.
- Western Michigan has lost 15 of its last 16 games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Boise State has covered the spread in five of its last six September games as a favorite.
- Western Michigan has lost the first half in 12 of its last 14 games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Boise State’s last 10 September games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of Western Michigan’s last seven home games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
Western Michigan Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Jalen Buckley ranks T13th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (4) this season.
Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Dylan Riley ranks 3rd amongst FBS players for rushing yards (454) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Western Michigan ranks T15th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (2.3).
- Western Michigan ranks 121st among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (157.0).
- Boise State ranks 136th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (335.0).
- Boise State is one of 10 FBS teams to score in every quarter this season.
Boise State vs Western Michigan Prediction
Western Michigan has held its own up to this point and should be undefeated with a win over Michigan. The issue is Western Michigan has had many drives that stall offensively, and that run defense is a concern. Boise State is still physical in the trenches, experienced at key positions, and is bullying teams, which includes giving Oregon a scare opening week. Boise State is just the better team across the board, and I’d need more than a touchdown to give the Broncos a serious look. I’ll lay the seven points with Boise State on the road.