Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction 10/3/2026 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 12, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns quarterback Lunch Winfield (7) carries the ball against the Southern California Trojans in the first half at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Team Records
2-2
3-1
Spread
+6.5 -115
-6.5 -105
Moneyline
+190
-230
Total
Over 47.5 (-115)
Under 47.5 (-105)
Where
Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, LA
When
Saturday, October 3, 2026
Time
08:00 PM EDT
TV
ESPN+
The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns meet in week 5 college football action from Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Prediction.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Recap
The Arkansas State Red Wolves come into this game looking to add on to their 17-14 win over Kennesaw State last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, the Red Wolves will head home for a game against South Alabama.
Red Wolves Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Trey Owens has thrown for 837 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 67.6% passing while Solomon Baggett leads Arkansas State in rushing with 160 yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. James Lee sits behind Baggett on the ground with 112 yards and 0 TDs. Hunter Summers leads the Red Wolves in receiving with 211 yards and 16 catches along with 1 TD, while Chauncy Cobb trails with 193 yards and 17 catches. On defense, Joe Drew has a team-high 36 tackles while Arkansas State’s defense as a whole has combined for 3 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Recap
The Louisiana Ragin Cajuns come into this game looking to build on their 34-7 win over Charlotte last time out to sit at 3-1 this season. After this game, Louisiana will head on the road for a game against Louisiana Tech.
Cajuns Win Back-To-Back Games
Lunch Winfield has thrown for 660 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 73.0% passing while also leading Louisiana in rushing with 295 yards and 6 touchdowns so far this season. Anthony Reagan Jr. sits behind Winfield on the ground with 135 yards and 2 TDs. Jayden Reed leads the Ragin’ Cajuns in receiving with 275 yards and 19 catches along with 4 TDs, while Russell Babineaux trails with 116 yards and 12 catches. On defense, Conor McPherson has a team-high 31 tackles while Louisiana’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Arkansas State Red Wolves @ Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will win
Louisiana has won each of its last six home games against Arkansas State.
Arkansas State has lost each of its last three October games at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium.
Louisiana has covered the spread in five of its last six home games against Arkansas State.
Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three October games at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium.
Louisiana has won the first half in each of its last four home games.
The home team has won the first quarter in each of the last four games between Arkansas State and Louisiana.
Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win
Arkansas State has won five of its last six October games as an underdog.
Arkansas State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Louisiana has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three home games in October.
Arkansas State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games as an underdog against teams from Louisiana.
Louisiana has lost the first half in three of its last four home games in October.
Total Points Facts
Nine of Louisiana’s last 10 home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
Eight of Arkansas State’s last nine October games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 5, Lunch Winfield ranks T5th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (6) this season.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 5, Chauncy Cobb ranks 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference amongst qualified players for catch rate (85.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
Louisiana ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
Louisiana ranks T5th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (6).
Arkansas State ranks T135th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (0.8).
Arkansas State ranks T13th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.8).
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Prediction
I’m on the over in this game. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but the thing here is that these are two of the better offensive units and QBs in the Sun Belt in my opinion and I think this might end up being a bit of a higher-scoring game. So give me the over in a bit of a track meet here.
