| MATCHUP | Arizona State Sun Devils | UCF Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-4 | 5-4 |
| Spread | +3 -108 | -3 -112 |
| Moneyline | +130 | -155 |
| Total | Over 48.5 (-108) | Under 48.5 (-112) |
| Where | FBC Mortgage Stadium, Orlando, FL | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
Arizona State vs UCF Prediction
I’m just not high on Arizona State and still can’t get that game against Baylor out of my head. Arizona State is subpar on both sides of the ball, and often the defense looks lost. UCF has the athletes to give the Sun Devils fits, and they have an above-average scoring offense that should produce the edge. UCF has covered 6 of its last 9 games.
UCF is also coming off an impressive road upset win over Kansas. That may create a letdown spot, but we’re only laying a field goal. I’m more confident in UCF than Arizona State, especially at home, where it’s won four of five tries. Give me UCF and the small number.
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview
The Arizona State Sun Devils lost to BYU, beat Colorado, and they play Oklahoma State next. Arizona State has split its last 8 games. Cutter Boley is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 1,360 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Boley has been sacked 12 times this season. Reed Harris has 907 yards and 9 touchdowns on 52 catches. Omarion Miller has 491 yards and 3 touchdowns on 46 catches. Derek Eusebio has 160 yards on 16 catches.
The Arizona State Sun Devils’ ground game is averaging 136.7 yards per contest, and Cardae Mack leads the way with 603 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Arizona State is allowing 27.3 points and 345.8 yards per game. Owen Long leads Arizona State with 89 tackles. Jalen Thompson has 5 sacks. Lyrik Rawls has 1 interception.
UCF Knights Betting Preview
The UCF Knights lost to Baylor, beat Kansas, and they play Iowa State next. UCF has split its last 8 games. Keyone Jenkins is completing 67.8 percent of his passes for 1,181 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jenkins has been sacked 10 times this season. Josh Derry has 571 yards and 4 touchdowns on 45 catches. Tyren Hornes has 314 yards and 1 touchdown on 25 catches. Waden Charles has 285 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 catches.
The UCF Knights’ ground game is averaging 146.2 yards per contest, and Duke Watson leads the way with 596 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 26 points and 379 yards per game. Tackett Curtis leads UCF with 59 tackles. Isaiah Nixon has 2.5 sacks. Demari Henderson has 2 interceptions.
Why the UCF Knights will win
- The home team has won 10 of UCF’s last 12 games.
Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win
- Arizona State has won each of its last three November games as a road underdog.
- UCF has lost three of its last four November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arizona State has covered the spread in each of its last six November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UCF has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine November games as a favorite.
- UCF has lost the first half in three of its last four November games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UCF’s last four games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Arizona State’s last five November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
UCF Knights Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Josh Derry leads UCF for receptions (45) this season.
Arizona State Sun Devils Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Reed Harris ranks T7th amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UCF ranks T119th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-2.6).
- UCF ranks T118th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (38.9).
- Arizona State ranks T127th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-3.7).
- Arizona State ranks T124th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.9).