| MATCHUP | Air Force Falcons | Army Black Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Spread | +3 -105 | -3 -115 |
| Moneyline | +140 | -166 |
| Total | Over 44.5 (-112) | Under 44.5 (-108) |
| Where | Michie Stadium, West Point, NY | |
| When | Saturday, November 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | CBS | |
Air Force vs Army Prediction
In this Air Force vs Army prediction, Army is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Both teams have been very good this season and have almost identical overall records. They have also been in good form lately, with a 3-1 and 5-1 record in their last four and six games respectively and are both very good against the spread lately, so I see no value on either side. Both offenses have been excellent this season, as they average 52.8 points per game combined and while they also have very good defensive numbers throughout the season, both defenses have been struggling lately. Army has given up 84 total points in its last two games and Air Force 26+ in each of its last three, so I expect a sloppy, high-scoring game today. Take the over 46 points in this one.
Army Black Knights Preview
Army has a 5-3 record and a 4-2 record in the American. They are coming off a 22-49 road loss against Memphis and will face East Carolina and Rice next.
Offensively, Army averages 33.6 points per game, ranking 34th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.5 points per game, which is 83rd. Army averages 413.6 total yards per game (71.1 passing and 342.5 rushing), while allowing 396.5 total yards per game (152.4 rushing and 244.1 passing). They average 64.5 plays per game and 6.4 yards per play on offense, while allowing 60.1 plays per game and 6.6 yards per play on defense. Army averages 21.8 first downs per game on offense and 19.6 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 0.5 times per game and are forcing 0.8 turnovers per game.
Cale Hellums leads Army with 462 passing yards with 56.6% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. Cale Hellums leads the team in rushing yards with 874, while Brady Anderson has a team-high 163 receiving yards and 10 receptions. Defensively, Elijah Walton has a team-high 55 total tackles (26 of them solo), while Victor Afolabi leads the team with 3.0 sacks.
Air Force Falcons Preview
Air Force has a 6-2 record and a 3-2 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 35-26 home win against UConn and will face San Jose State and UTEP next.
Offensively, Air Force averages 29.2 points per game, ranking 62nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 21.5 points per game, which is 48th. Air Force averages 400.1 total yards per game (59.1 passing and 341.0 rushing), while allowing 305.4 total yards per game (129.1 rushing and 176.3 passing). They average 73.3 plays per game and 5.5 yards per play on offense, while allowing 52.5 plays per game and 5.8 yards per play on defense. Air Force averages 23.5 first downs per game on offense and 15.4 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 0.9 times per game and are forcing 0.9 turnovers per game.
Liam Szarka leads Air Force with 296 passing yards with 50.0% completed passes and 1 touchdown. Evan Medders leads the team in rushing yards with 490, while Simon Kibbee has a team-high 135 receiving yards and 8 receptions. Defensively, Blake Fletcher has a team-high 80 total tackles (38 of them solo), while Max Mustell leads the team with 3.0 sacks.
Air Force Falcons @ Army Black Knights Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the Army Black Knights will win
- Army has won 17 of its last 18 November games as a favorite.
- Air Force has lost four of its last five games against opponents from the American Conference.
- Army has covered the spread in five of its last six games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Air Force has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- Air Force has won five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Army has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Air Force has covered the spread in each of its last four road games against opponents from the American Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last 11 November games between Air Force and Army have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Air Force’s last six November games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Army Black Knights Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Cale Hellums leads the league for rushing touchdowns (17) this season.
Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Simon Kibbee leads Air Force for receptions (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Army ranks 137th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (71.1).
- Army ranks 2nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (82.4).
- Air Force ranks 1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (83.3).
- Air Force has had a higher time of possession than its opponents in each of its last nine games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.