| MATCHUP | Xavier Muskateers | Providence Friars |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 13-14 | 12-15 |
| Spread | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +210 | -258 |
| Total | Over 170.5 (-110) | Under 170.5 (-110) |
| Where | Amica Mutual Pavilion, Providence, RI | |
| When | Wednesday, February 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | truTV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Xavier vs Providence Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, February 24th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Providence Friars Preview
The Providence Friars have a 12-15 overall record and a 5-11 record in the Big East. They are coming off a 71-68 road win against DePaul and their previous three games were a 79-69 home loss against St. John’s, an 87-80 road loss against Seton Hall and a 90-72 home win against DePaul.
Offensively, Providence averages 86.8 points per game, while allowing 84.7 points per game defensively. The Friars shoot with 48% from the field and grab 39.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.8 assists per game. They average 4.2 blocks per game and 5.4 steals per game defensively.
Jaylin Sellers leads Providence in scoring, with an average of 17.3 points per game, while shooting with 47% from the field and 87.8% from the free throw line. Oswin Erhunmwunse is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.4 per game. Stefan Vaaks leads the team in assists with 3.2 per game.
Xavier Musketeers Preview
The Xavier Musketeers have a 13-14 overall record and a 5-11 record in the Big East. They are coming off an 80-75 road loss against Butler and their previous three games were a 92-89 home loss against Villanova, a 96-88 home win against Marquette and an 87-82 road loss against St. John’s.
Offensively, Xavier averages 78.1 points per game, while allowing 79.1 points per game defensively. The Musketeers shoot with 44% from the field and grab 35 rebounds per game, while dishing out 18 assists per game. They average 4.2 blocks per game and 6.6 steals per game defensively.
Tre Carroll leads Xavier in scoring, with an average of 18.6 points per game, while shooting with 50.9% from the field and 68.1% from the free throw line. Filip Borovicanin is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.9 per game, adding a team-high 4.3 assists.
Xavier Musketeers @ Providence Friars Betting Trends: February 24, 2026
Why the Providence Friars will win
- Xavier has lost each of its last seven road games.
- The home team has won six of Xavier’s last seven games.
- Providence has won the first half in each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Xavier Musketeers will win
- Xavier has won six of its last seven games against Providence.
- Providence has lost 21 of its last 27 games against Conference opponents.
- Xavier has won the first half in each of its last seven games against Providence.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Providence’s last 10 Tuesday games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 170 or fewer points.
- Twenty-one of Xavier’s last 23 night games have produced a total of 170 or fewer points.
Xavier vs Providence Prediction
In this Xavier vs Providence Prediction, Providence is coming as -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season and similar ATS records. Providence has lost two of its last three games and Xavier is 2-7 in its last 9 games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been playing some high-scoring games lately, going for 15-5 to the over in their last 20 games combined and their previous meeting this season was also a high-scoring one, with 181 total points. Take the over 170.5 points in this one.