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Wisconsin vs Minnesota Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks

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Minnesota (15-14) vs Wisconsin (22-7)

March 5, 2025 at 08:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota +7.5 — Over/Under: 139.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Wisconsin Badgers and Minnesota Golden Gophers meet on Wednesday in college basketball action at Williams Arena. Here’s a Wisconsin vs Minnesota Prediction. This article will include a Wisconsin vs Minnesota Pick.

Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview

The Wisconsin Badgers (22-7, 18-10-1 ATS) experienced a nice run of five consecutive wins, three of which came on the road. However, they lost two of the next three games. An overtime home loss to Oregon is particularly painful, and although they responded with a comfortable victory over Washington, the Badgers lost the most recent game to Michigan State. Wisconsin is 5th in the Big Ten Standings, with the same record as Maryland, five wins ahead of Minnesota, and three games behind the leaders Michigan State.

Wisconsin averages 81.2 PPG (29th) and allows 70.6 PPG (137th). The Badgers are 148th in rebounds (36.2) and 122nd in assists (14.7). John Tonje leads the team with 19.2 PPG and 4.9 RPG. John Blackwell follows him with 15.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and 2.2 APG, while Nolan Winter has 9.9 PPG and a team-high 6.1 RPG.

Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Preview

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-14, 10-17-2 ATS) are playing in a hot and cold form at the moment. Minnesota won five of the previous ten games but lost two of the last three. Interestingly, the Golden Gophers are better on the road than at home recently; they won each of the last four away from home and lost four in a row in Minneapolis. After losing to Penn State and Northwestern, Minnesota beat Nebraska. Minnesota is 11th in the Big Ten Standings, even eight games behind the leaders Michigan State.

Minnesota is averaging 68.3 PPG (345th) and is allowing 69.3 PPG (99th). The Golden Gophers are getting 33.6 RPG (322nd) and dish out 15.5 APG (76th). Dawson Garcia is the team’s top scorer with 19.3 PPG, a team-high 7.5 RPG, and 2.0 APG. Lu’Cye Patterson adds 11.7 PPG, 3.7 RPG, and 3.3 APG, while Mike Mitchell Jr. contributes 9.1 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.8 APG, and 1.0 SPG.

Why Wisconsin will beat Minnesota

  • Wisconsin has won each of its last eight games against Minnesota.
  • Minnesota has lost 19 of its last 21 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Wisconsin has won the first half in eight of its last nine night games against the Big Ten Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Wisconsin’s last seven night games at Williams Arena have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.
  • Each of the last seven games between Wisconsin and Minnesota has produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Minnesota ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (19.1).
  • Minnesota ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.43).
  • Wisconsin ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (118.7).
  • Wisconsin ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (103.2).

Wisconsin vs Minnesota Prediction

Wisconsin owns Minnesota in recent H2H history. The Badgers won nine of the previous ten H2Hs, including each of the last eight. Wisconsin didn’t have problems in the first H2H encounter of the season, defeating Minnesota 80-59. The Golden Gophers are not playing well at home; they suffered four consecutive defeats, and I think they’re going to lose fifth in a row on Wednesday. Wisconsin won three of the last four on the road. Minnesota has only covered the Spread in 11 of its last 34 games, while Wisconsin has covered the Spread in 23 of its last 36 games. Go with Wisconsin to cover.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Wisconsin -7

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