| MATCHUP | Western Michigan Broncos | Valparaiso Beacons |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-4 | 4-2 |
| Spread | +4.5 -115 | -4.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +164 | -198 |
| Total | Over 146.5 (-108) | Under 146.5 (-112) |
| Where | Athletics-Recreation Center, Valparaiso, IN | |
| When | Saturday, November 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 03:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Valparaiso Beacons Preview
Valparaiso has a 4-2 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the MVC conference. They are 3-3 ATS, 2-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 1-1 away record. Valparaiso is coming off a 64-56 home loss against Southern Indiana and will face Marquette, Calumet College and UNC Wilmington next.
Offensively, Valparaiso averages 67.8 points per game, which ranks 329th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 70.3 points per game (123rd). The Beacons shoot with 37.3% from the field (358th), and with 27.3% from beyond the arc (340th). They shoot with 66.2% from the free throw line (309th), and grab 39.3 rebounds per game (101st), while dishing out 10.5 assists per game (350th) and committing 9.7 turnovers per game (31st).
Rakim Chaney leads Valparaiso in scoring, with an average of 16 points per game. Shon Tupuola follows with 9.7 points and 6.8 rebounds per game, while JT Pettigrew adds 8.3 points and 5.2 rebounds per game.
Western Michigan Broncos Preview
Western Michigan has a 3-4 record this season and are sitting in the 10th place of the MAC conference. They are 3-2 ATS, 2-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 0-3 away record. Western Michigan is coming off an 83-60 home win against Mount St. Mary’s and will face Southern Indiana, Southern Illinois-Edwardsville and Iowa next.
Offensively, Western Michigan averages 77.3 points per game, which ranks 199th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 78.9 points per game (273rd). The Broncos shoot with 44.9% from the field (211th), and with 30.4% from beyond the arc (286th). They shoot with 76.5% from the free throw line (45th), and grab 39.1 rebounds per game (106th), while dishing out 13.1 assists per game (254th) and committing 14.9 turnovers per game (317th).
Jalen Griffith leads Western Michigan in scoring, with an average of 16.8 points and 4 assists per game. Jayden Brewer follows with 14.6 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, while Brady Swartz adds 9.1 points and 4.9 rebounds per game.
Western Michigan Broncos @ Valparaiso Beacons Betting Trends: November 29, 2025
Why the Valparaiso Beacons will win
- Western Michigan has lost 19 of its last 20 road games against non-Conference opponents.
- Valparaiso has won seven of its last eight home games against non-Conference opponents.
- Western Michigan has lost the first half in each of its last six road games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Western Michigan Broncos will win
- Valparaiso has lost eight of its last nine day games.
- Valparaiso has lost the first half in each of its last four day games at Athletics-Recreation Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Valparaiso’s last six home games have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
- Six of Western Michigan’s last seven games have produced a total of 147+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Valparaiso ranks T5th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.0).
- Valparaiso ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (42.8%).
- Western Michigan ranks T357th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.6).
- Western Michigan ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (76.5%).
Western Michigan vs Valparaiso Prediction
In this Western Michigan vs Valparaiso Prediction, Valparaiso is coming as -5.5 home favorites. Valparaiso has been the better team this season and have been very strong at home, while Western Michigan has been winless on the road, but Valpo has been struggling mightily offensively, ranking on the bottom-40 of the country in points scored. Both teams have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, as they are 7-1 to the under in their last 8 games combined and I don’t see how this game will have many points. Take the under 146 points in this one.