Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Dec 6, 2025; Raleigh, North Carolina, USA;
Liberty Flames guard Brett Decker Jr. (4) shoots a free throw during the second half of the game against the NC State Wolfpack at Lenovo Center. Mandatory Credit: Jaylynn Nash-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Liberty Flames
Team Records
15-11
23-3
Spread
+7.5 -112
-7.5 -108
Moneyline
+260
-325
Total
Over 146.5 (-115)
Under 146.5 (-105)
Where
Liberty Arena (VA), Lynchburg, VA
When
Saturday, February 21, 2026
Time
04:00 PM EST
TV
ESPN+
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the Liberty Flames meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Liberty Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Liberty Flames prediction.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Recap
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers come into this game looking to add on to their 88-87 OT win over Delaware last time out to sit at 15-11 this season. After this game, Western Kentucky will head home for a game against New Mexico State.
Hilltoppers Win 3 In A Row
Teagan Moore leads the Hilltoppers across the board with 18.2 PPG, 6.1 RPG and 2.8 APG while Armelo Boone has 12.2 PPG and 5.9 RPG. Grant Newell has 11.6 PPG with 4.1 RPG and Ryan Myers has 10.2 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Western Kentucky up to this point in the year. As a team, Western Kentucky is averaging 83.1 PPG on 41.8% shooting from the field, 33.9% from three and 74.3% from the foul line this season.
Liberty Flames Recap
The Liberty Flames come into this game looking to add on to their 90-89 OT win over FIU last time out to sit at 23-3 this season. After this game, Liberty will head on the road for a game against Kennesaw State.
Flames Win 17 In A Row
Brett Decker Jr. leads the Flames in scoring with 17.8 PPG along with 2.9 RPG while Kaden Metheny has 13.1 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.9 APG as well this season. Colin Porter has 11.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 3.4 APG while JJ Harper has 10.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG. Zach Cleveland has 11.6 PPG along with team-highs of 8.3 RPG and 7.3 APG to lead the Flames in rebounding and assists to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Liberty so far this season. As a team, Liberty is averaging 80.3 PPG on 52.6% shooting from the field, 39.9% from three and 69.8% from the foul line this season.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ Liberty Flames Betting Trends: February 21, 2026
Why the Liberty Flames will win
Liberty has won each of its last 20 games against Conference opponents.
Western Kentucky has lost three of its last four games following an overtime win.
Liberty has won the first half in 18 of its last 19 games at Liberty Arena (Lynchburg).
Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win
Western Kentucky has won four of its last five games.
Total Points Facts
Seven of Western Kentucky’s last eight road games have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
Eight of Liberty’s last 10 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 147+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
Liberty has recorded the equal-longest road winning streak among Division 1 teams this season (9 games).
Liberty ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (2.01).
Western Kentucky ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (4.7).
Western Kentucky ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (40.0%).
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Liberty Flames Prediction
I’m on Liberty here. I think that the Flames still have some motivation to go out and perform here as they’re fighting for the top spot in the CUSA standings, and until they clinch I think Liberty is going to keep showing up in a big way here. I’ll roll with the Flames at home in this one.
