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Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction 2/19/25 College Basketball Picks

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Kentucky (17-8) vs Vanderbilt (17-8)

February 19, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Kentucky -6.5 — Over/Under: 161.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Vanderbilt vs Kentucky prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, February 19th at Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 17-8 (5-7) this year after they lost to Tennessee by a score of 81-76 in their last game. Vanderbilt led 44-31 at halftime, but they were outscored 50-32 in the second half in the loss. The Commodores shot 45.8% from the field, 44.4% on three-pointers, and 71.4% on free throws in the game. Jason Edwards led Vanderbilt with 24 points and one rebound, while Jaylen Carey added 18 points and seven rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Commodores lost to Auburn by a score of 80-68 but did beat Texas by a score of 86-78 before that. Vanderbilt has lost four of their last five games and they are currently 10th in the SEC standings with a 5-7 record. Vanderbilt has scored 80.4 points per game and they have allowed 72.6 points per game, while also averaging 35 rebounds and 14.2 assists per game this season. Jason Edwards is averaging 17.6 points, 2.0 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game, while Devin McGlockton is averaging 10.8 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks per game this year. Vanderbilt is shooting 45.9% from the field, 74.5% on free throws, and 33% on three-pointers this season. 

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kentucky Wildcats are 17-8 (6-6) this season after they lost to Texas by a score of 82-78 in their last game. Kentucky led 41-37 at halftime, but they were outscored 45-37 in the second half for the loss. The Wildcats shot 41.9% from the field, 25% on three-pointers, and 71.4% on free throws in the game. Otega Oweh led Kentucky with 20 points and five rebounds, while Amari Williams added 18 points and 12 rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Wildcats defeated Tennessee by a score of 75-64 and South Carolina by a score of 80-57. Kentucky has lost three of their last five games and they are currently ninth in the SEC standings with a 6-6 record. Kentucky has scored 85.9 points per game and they have allowed 76.3 points per game, while also averaging 39.6 rebounds and 17.4 assists per game this season. Otega Oweh is averaging 16.0 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game, while Jaxson Robinson and Lamont Butler are their second and third-leading scorers, but are out with injuries. Kentucky is shooting 48.3% from the field, 73.1% on free throws, and 37.9% on three-pointers this season. Kentucky will meet Alabama after this game.

Why Kentucky will beat Vanderbilt 

  • Vanderbilt has lost each of its last six night games against the Southeastern Conference.
  • Kentucky has won 11 of its last 12 night games at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center.
  • Vanderbilt has lost the first half in 11 of its last 14 night games against the Southeastern Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Twelve of the last 14 night games between Vanderbilt and Kentucky have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.
  • Seventeen of Vanderbilt’s last 21 games have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction 

Kentucky comes into this matchup after playing very poorly in the final few minutes against Texas, but they will be at home for this game. The Wildcats are shooting 48.3% from the field this year and they are scoring nearly 86 points per game, but they are dealing with some key injuries right now. Vanderbilt has lost four of their last five games and they are 0-5 in their last five road games. The Commodores did beat Kentucky by a score of 74-69 a few weeks ago, but they have struggled since that game. I am definitely concerned about Kentucky’s injury issues, but I can’t back this Vanderbilt team on the road with how they are currently playing away from home. Take Kentucky to cover here. 

David Racey's Pick: Kentucky -6.5

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