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UTSA vs St. Mary’s Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/3/24

MATT DAYHOFF/JOURNAL STAR / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

St. Mary's (7-1) vs UTSA (3-3)

December 3, 2024 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: St. Mary's -23.5 / UTSA +23.5 — Over/Under: 145

(Get latest betting odds)

The UTSA Roadrunners and the Saint Mary’s Gaels meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the University Credit Union Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UTSA vs. Saint Mary’s prediction.

UTSA Recap

The UTSA Roadrunners come into this one looking to build on a 78-71 win over Houston Christian last time out to improve to 3-3 on the year. After this game, the Roadrunners will continue their travels to take on the Razorbacks in Arkansas.

Roadrunners Win Back-To-Back Games

Primo Spears leads the Roadrunners in scoring and assists with 23.7 PPG and 4 APG while Raekwon Horton has 11.2 PPG with 6.6 RPG. Marcus Millender has 10.8 PPG with 3.5 RPG and Damari Monsanto has 10.6 PPG with 4.4 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for UTSA so far this season. Jonnivius Smith also has 7 PPG and a team-high 10.2 RPG to lead the Roadrunners on the glass up to this point in the year. As a team, UTSA is averaging 77.5 PPG on 40.5% shooting from the field, 31.9% from three and 82.5% from the foul line this season.

Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win

  • UTSA has won three of its last four away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Saint Mary’s Recap

The Saint Mary’s Gaels come into this one looking to bounce back from a 68-64 loss to Arizona State last time out to fall to 7-1 on the year. After this game, Saint Mary’s will square off against Utah on the road.

Gaels Looking To Respond After First Loss

Augustas Marciulionis leads the Gaels in scoring and assists with 14 PPG and 5.5 APG while Paulius Murauskas has 13.3 PPG and 9.5 RPG to lead the Gaels on the glass this season. Mikey Lewis has 11.4 PPG and Luke Barrett has 10.6 PPG with 7.6 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Saint Mary’s up to this point in the year. Jordan Ross also has 9.9 PPG and 3.1 APG as well on the year. As a team, Saint Mary’s is averaging 77.4 PPG on 47.3% shooting from the field, 32.5% from three and 65.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win

  • Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 14 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UTSA has lost each of its last 11 Tuesday night road games against non-Conference opponents.

UTSA vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction

I’m on the under here. I don’t see the path to offense for UTSA here, as the Roadrunners can only really shoot free throws well and Saint Mary’s is top-75 in free throw rate allowed. On the other side, Saint Mary’s showed they can blow teams out with defense, and I don’t know if I think I can bank on the Gaels to have a massive scoring output here either. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: UNDER 145

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