| MATCHUP | UTEP Miners | New Mexico State Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 10-16 | 12-13 |
| Spread | +7.5 -118 | -7.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | +250 | -310 |
| Total | Over 140.5 (-115) | Under 140.5 (-105) |
| Where | Pan American Center, Las Cruces, NM | |
| When | Saturday, February 21, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a UTEP vs New Mexico State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 21st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
New Mexico State Aggies Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies have a 12-13 overall record and a 5-10 record in the CUSA. They are coming off a 79-70 road win against Jacksonville State and their previous three games were a 77-75 home loss against Liberty, a 91-88 road loss against UTEP and a 72-63 road win against Louisiana Tech.
Offensively, New Mexico State averages 75.8 points per game, while allowing 71.1 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 44% from the field and grab 37.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.6 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 6.8 steals per game defensively.
Jemel Jones leads New Mexico State in scoring, with an average of 16.9 points per game, while shooting with 43.6% from the field and 83.9% from the free throw line. Julius Mims is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.1 per game. Gabe Pickens leads the team in assists with 2.9 per game.
UTEP Miners Preview
The UTEP Miners have a 10-16 overall record and a 6-9 record in the CUSA. They are coming off a 73-64 home loss against Liberty and their previous three games were a 69-64 road win against Jacksonville State, a 91-88 home win against New Mexico State and a 70-66 road loss against Sam Houston.
Offensively, UTEP averages 69.8 points per game, while allowing 71.8 points per game defensively. The Miners shoot with 43% from the field and grab 32.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.4 assists per game. They average 3.7 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.
Elijah Jones leads UTEP in scoring, with an average of 14.3 points per game, while shooting with 48.8% from the field and 69.8% from the free throw line. Jamal West Jr. is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.6 per game. KJ Thomas leads the team in assists with 3.2 per game.
UTEP Miners @ New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends: February 21, 2026
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- UTEP has lost each of its last five Saturday road games.
- New Mexico State has won 18 of its last 24 games against UTEP.
- New Mexico State has won the first half in eight of its last nine home games against UTEP.
Why the UTEP Miners will win
- New Mexico State has lost each of its last five home games.
- The road team has won seven of New Mexico State’s last nine games.
- The road team has won the first half in each of the last three games between UTEP and New Mexico State.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of UTEP’s last eight road games have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.
- Each of New Mexico State’s last seven Saturday night home games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 135 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- New Mexico State ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.9).
- New Mexico State ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (11.2).
- UTEP ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (53.8).
- UTEP ranks T49th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (20.2).
UTEP vs New Mexico State Prediction
In this UTEP vs New Mexico State Prediction, New Mexico State is coming as -7 home favorites. New Mexico State has been the better team this season but have not been in the best form lately, with a 2-6 record in their last 8 games and 3-5 against the spread. UTEP has been mediocre lately with a 5-5 record in its last 10 but is 7-3 against the spread, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are 10-4 to the under in their last 14 games combined, as UTEP is a bottom-35 offense in the entire nation. Take the under 140.5 points in this one.