Utah Tech vs Tarleton Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Nov 14, 2025; Waco, Texas, USA; Tarleton State Texans guard Dior Johnson (7) attempts a layup ahead of Baylor Bears guard Tounde Yessoufou (24) during the first half at Paul and Alejandra Foster Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: Chris Jones-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Utah Tech Trailblazers
Tarleton Texans
Team Records
16-12
14-13
Spread
+2.5 -108
-2.5 -112
Moneyline
+124
-148
Total
Over 140.5 (-115)
Under 140.5 (-105)
Where
Wisdom Gym, Stephenville, TX
When
Saturday, February 21, 2026
Time
05:00 PM EST
TV
ESPN+
The Utah Tech Trailblazers and the Tarleton Texans meet Saturday in college basketball action from the EECU Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton Texans prediction.
Utah Tech Trailblazers Recap
The Utah Tech Trailblazers come into this game looking to shake off a 63-50 loss at the hands of UT Arlington last time out to sit at 16-12 this season. After this game, Utah Tech will head home for a game against Abilene Christian.
Trailblazers Have Six-Game Win Streak Snapped
Ethan Potter leads the Trailblazers in scoring and rebounding with 15.8 PPG and 7.9 RPG while Noah Bolanga has 12.7 PPG with 6 RPG and 2.1 APG. Chance Trujillo has 11.2 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 2.5 APG and Jusaun Holt has 11 PPG with 4.2 RPG and a team-high 3.3 APG to lead Utah Tech in assists and to finish off the scoring in double figures for Utah Tech so far this season. Madiba Owona has 9.7 PPG with 3.1 RPG as well so far this season. As a team, Utah Tech is averaging 76.9 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field, 34.3% from three and 71.2% from the foul line this season.
Tarleton Texans Recap
The Tarleton Texans come into this game looking to add on to their 78-74 win over Southern Utah last time out to sit at 14-13 this year. After this game, Tarleton will head on the road for a game against Utah Valley.
Texans Win Back-To-Back Games
Dior Johnson leads the Texans in scoring with 23.6 PPG while Cam McDowell has 13.9 PPG with 3.3 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Tarleton so far this season. Freddy Hicks has 9.7 PPG with team-highs of 5.7 RPG and 2.2 APG as well this year. Chris Mpaka has 8.1 PPG with 5.3 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Tarleton is averaging 75.7 PPG on 45.5% shooting from the field, 31.7% from three and 75.5% from the foul line this season.
Utah Tech Trailblazers @ Tarleton State Texans Betting Trends: February 21, 2026
Why the Tarleton State Texans will win
Utah Tech has lost 14 of its last 15 Saturday road games against Conference opponents.
The home team has won each of Utah Tech’s last four games.
Tarleton State has won the first half in each of its last six home day games against Conference opponents.
Why the Utah Tech Trailblazers will win
Utah Tech has won six of its last seven games.
Tarleton State has lost three of its last four day games against Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
Seven of Tarleton State’s last eight games have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
Five of Utah Tech’s last six day games have produced a total of 146+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
Tarleton State ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.6).
Tarleton State ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (14.3).
Utah Tech ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (28.7%).
Utah Tech ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (5.9).
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton Texans Prediction
I’m on Utah Tech here. I think the Trailblazers are still a solid team and while I wonder if this team is starting to come back down to earth a little bit, I think that Tarleton’s getting a bit too much respect here. The Trailblazers are still one of the top teams in the WAC and I think even on the road, Utah Tech gets the win and cover here.
