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Utah State vs San Diego State Prediction 2/25/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Jan 23, 2026; Fort Collins, Colorado, USA; Colorado State Rams guard Brandon Rechsteiner (2) controls the ball as Utah State Aggies guard Elijah Perryman (1) guards in the second half at Moby Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

Jan 23, 2026; Fort Collins, Colorado, USA; Colorado State Rams guard Brandon Rechsteiner (2) controls the ball as Utah State Aggies guard Elijah Perryman (1) guards in the second half at Moby Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Utah State Aggies San Diego State Aztecs
Team Records 23-4 18-8
Spread +1.5 -122 -1.5 102
Moneyline -105 -115
Total Over 146.5 (-110) Under 146.5 (-110)
Where Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
When Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Time 11:00 PM EST
TV FS1
The Utah State Aggies and the San Diego State Aztecs will meet on Wednesday night in a Mountain West Conference matchup at Viejas Arena in San Diego, California.

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs enter Wednesday evening’s contest with an 18–8 win‑loss record, including a 12–4 mark in conference play and a 12–2 record at home. The Aztecs have compiled wins over Wyoming, Air Force and Nevada, while dropping recent games to Grand Canyon and Colorado State.

The San Diego Aztecs average 73.3 points on 43.6 percent shooting from the field and 34 percent shooting from beyond the arc per game. Shifting our attention to the defensive side of the basketball, the Aztecs are allowing opponents 79.4 points per contest.

Senior guard Reese Dixon-Waters leads the San Diego Aztecs averaging 12.6 points, 3.6 rebounds, 1.4 assists and 1 steal per game. Junior guard Miles Byrd provides the Aztecs with further backcourt depth averaging 10.8 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 2 steals per contest, while sophomore forward Magoon Gwath contributes 8.7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.6 blocks per contest.     

Utah State Aggies Betting Preview

The Utah State Aggies enter Wednesday’s contest with a 23–4 record, including a 13–3 mark in conference play and a rather impressive 7–3 record on the road. Utah State has amassed wins over Colorado State, San Diego State, Boise State, Bradley and UC Irvine, while dropping recent games to UNLV and Weber State.

It is noteworthy that these two teams met earlier this season. Who won? Five weeks ago, the Utah State Aggies defeated the San Diego Aztecs 71-66.

The Utah State Aggies are averaging 83 points (35th in nation) on 50.5 percent shooting from the field (9th in country) and 34.8 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. Defensively, the Aggies are allowing opponents 69.6 points per contest.

Senior guard MJ Collins Jr. leads the Utah State Aggies averaging 17.9 points, 2.2 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 1 steal per game. Junior guard Mason Falslev adds 16.1 points, 5.6 rebounds, 2.9 assists and 2.1 steals per contest. Junior forward Karson Templin contributes 9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 1 block per game.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

• Home court edge. The San Diego Aztecs have amassed a 12–2 record at home this season.

• Quality guard play. Senior guard Reese Dixon-Waters leads the San Diego Aztecs averaging 12.6 points, 3.6 rebounds, 1.4 assists and 1 steal per game.

• Enhanced motivation. The San Diego State can Aztecs arrive at tomorrow’s contest on the heels of a two-game losing streak.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

• Ability to win on the road. The Utah State Aggies are 7–3 on the road this season.

• Confidence. Utah State defeated the San Diego Aztecs 71-66 earlier this season.

• Balanced scoring. Collins Jr., Falslev and Templin have provided consistent offense.

• Offensive edge. The Utah State Aggies are averaging 83 points (35th in nation) on 50.5 percent shooting from the field (9th in country) per game. Conversely, the Aztecs average 73.3 points per contest.

Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

This matchup features the San Diego State Aztecs home court edge and quality guard play against a Utah State Aggies team that has played exceptionally well on the road and previously defeated the Aztecs earlier this season. San Diego State is always dangerous when playing at home, but Utah State’s balanced scoring, superior offensive efficiency, and recent form give the Aggies a clear path to stay inside this number (1.5) here. For the reasons just noted, I am backing the Utah State Aggies plus the 1.5 points in this matchup.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Utah State +1.5

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