Utah State vs Nevada Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Colorado State's student section attempts to distract Utah State's MJ Collins Jr. during a game at Moby Arena on Jan. 23, 2026 in Fort Collins, Colo.
MATCHUP
Utah State Aggies
Nevada Wolf Pack
Team Records
23-3
17-9
Where
Lawlor Events Center, Reno, NV
When
Saturday, February 21, 2026
Time
10:00 PM EST
TV
FS1
The Utah State Aggies and the Nevada Wolf Pack meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Lawlor Events Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Utah State Aggies vs. Nevada Wolf Pack prediction.
Utah State Aggies Recap
The Utah State Aggies come into this game looking to build on their 75-56 win over Boise State last time out to sit at 23-3 this season. After this game, Utah State will head on the road for a game against San Diego State.
Aggies Win 8 In A Row
MJ Collins Jr. leads Utah State in scoring with 18.4 PPG along with 2.4 RPG while Mason Falslev has 16 PPG with a team-high 5.8 RPG and 2.8 APG along with 2.3 SPG as well as the only other double-digit scorer for Utah State so far this season. Karson Templin has 8.7 PPG with 4.5 RPG and Garry Clark has 8.1 PPG with 5.3 RPG while Kolby King has 8 PPG with 3.3 RPG. Drake Allen also has a team-high 5 APG to lead Utah State in assists so far this season. As a team, Utah State is averaging 83.7 PPG on 50.8% shooting from the field, 35.9% from three and 70.4% from the foul line this season.
Nevada Wolf Pack Recap
The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this game looking to shake off an 87-71 loss at the hands of San Jose State last time out to sit at 17-9 this season. After this game, the Wolf Pack will take on the New Mexico Lobos at home.
Wolf Pack Lose Back-To-Back Games
Corey Camper Jr. leads Nevada in scoring with 17.6 PPG along with 4.4 RPG and 2.1 APG and Tayshawn Comer has 12.7 PPG with a team-high 3.8 APG to lead the Wolf Pack in assists. Elijah Price has 12.8 PPG with a team-high 8.9 RPG to lead the Wolf Pack in rebounding and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Nevada up to this point in the year. As a team, Nevada is averaging 76.2 PPG on 43.6% shooting from the field, 38% from three and 75.7% from the foul line so far this season.
Utah State Aggies @ Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Trends: February 21, 2026
Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win
The home team has won each of Nevada’s last eight games.
The home team has won the first half in seven of Nevada’s last eight games.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
Utah State has won each of its last eight games.
Nevada has lost three of its last four games.
Utah State has won the first half in each of its last six night games.
Total Points Facts
Seventeen of Nevada’s last 20 games against Conference opponents at Lawlor Events Center have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
Five of Utah State’s last six road games have produced a total of 152+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
Nevada ranks T13th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.4).
Nevada ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (25.6).
Utah State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.74).
Utah State ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (51.4%).
Utah State Aggies vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction
I’m on Utah State here. I get the case to be made for Nevada coming off of a bad loss to San Jose State, but the thing here is that Nevada stunk it up against the Spartans and I have no desire to back Nevada after what I saw there. Give me Utah State.
