| MATCHUP | USC Trojans | California Golden Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Spread | -8.5 -115 | +8.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | -360 | +285 |
| Total | Over 161.5 (-110) | Under 161.5 (-110) |
| Where | Haas Pavilion, Berkeley, CA | |
| When | Wednesday, November 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 11:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
USC vs California Prediction
In this USC vs California Prediction, USC is coming as -8.5 road favorites. The Trojans have been undefeated this season and have covered the spread in both games, having a top-45 offense in the entire country and a +19.5 point differential. On the flip side, California is coming off its first loss of the season and have both a good offense and a shaky defense, with 169.7 average total points while shooting the ball extremely well, almost cracking the top-50 of the country both in field goal and in three-point percentage. With both teams shooting the ball so well and averaging 183 points per game combined, I have to go over the total in this one.
California Golden Bears Preview
The California Golden Bears have a 2-1 overall record and a 2-0 home record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 68-86 neutral loss against Houston and will face Utah Tech and East Texas A&M next.
Offensively, they are averaging 89 points per game (ranking 84th in the nation), while allowing 80.7 points per game defensively (ranking 285th in the nation) and have a 118.7 offensive rating (ranking 114th) and a 107.6 defensive rating (ranking 258th). The Golden Bears are shooting 51.6% from the field (ranking 51st) and 44% from beyond the arc (ranking 21st), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 46% from the field (ranking 281st) and 31.3% from the 3-point range (ranking 193rd). They are shooting with a 66.7% from the free-throw line (ranking 238th). They are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game (ranking 257th) and allow 35.7 rebounds per game off their opponents (209th), while averaging 21 assists per game (ranking 32nd) and allowing their opponents to dish 18.7 assists per game (339th). They average 2.3 blocks per game (ranking 270th) and 6.7 steals per game (ranking 236th), while committing 12.7 turnovers per game (ranking 189th) and forcing their opponents into 12.7 turnovers per game (ranking 218th).
Michael Cooper leads California in scoring, averaging 19.7 ppg on 55.6% shooting from the field. Nojus Indrusaitis follows with 18.7 ppg on 61.3% shooting from the field. Jordan Ross follows with 11.7 ppg on 56.5% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 7 assists per game. Jake Wilkins leads the team in rebounds with 5.7 per game.
USC Trojans Preview
The USC Trojans have a 2-0 overall record and a 1-0 home record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 93-86 neutral win against Wichita State and will face Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Tarleton State next.
Offensively, they are averaging 94 points per game (ranking 44th in the nation), while allowing 74.5 points per game defensively (ranking 214th in the nation) and have a 121.5 offensive rating (ranking 94th) and a 96.3 defensive rating (ranking 161st). The Trojans are shooting 50.4% from the field (ranking 79th) and 38.9% from beyond the arc (ranking 69th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 42.2% from the field (ranking 194th) and 35.7% from the 3-point range (ranking 283rd). They are shooting with a 81.8% from the free-throw line (ranking 25th). They are grabbing 35.5 rebounds per game (ranking 249th) and allow 34.5 rebounds per game off their opponents (172nd), while averaging 19.5 assists per game (ranking 48th) and allowing their opponents to dish 11.5 assists per game (115th). They average 6.5 blocks per game (ranking 27th) and 10 steals per game (ranking 73rd), while committing 12 turnovers per game (ranking 149th) and forcing their opponents into 18.5 turnovers per game (ranking 40th).
Alijah Arenas leads USC in scoring, averaging 25.5 ppg on 56.3% shooting from the field. Rodney Rice follows with 23.5 ppg on 40.7% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 9 assists per game. Adonis Ratliff follows with 17.5 ppg on 52.6% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 9.5 rebounds per game. Darius Ratliff follows with 10.5 ppg on 50
USC Trojans @ California Golden Bears Betting Trends: November 11, 2026
Why the California Golden Bears will win
- California has won 10 of its last 11 night games against non-Conference opponents at Haas Pavilion.
- USC has lost eight of its last 10 games.
Why the USC Trojans will win
- USC has won 17 of its last 18 games against non-Conference opponents.
- California has lost each of its last seven night games against AP-ranked opponents at Haas Pavilion.
- USC has won the first half in each of its last eight Wednesday night games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of California’s last nine night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.
- Twenty-six of USC’s last 34 night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- California ranks T29th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (14.0).
- California ranks T32nd among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (21.0).
- USC ranks T16th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (81.8%).
- USC ranks T24th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (6.5).
% shooting from the field.