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UNLV vs San Diego State Prediction 3/6/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Feb 21, 2026; Fort Collins, Colorado, USA; San Diego State Aztecs guard Miles Byrd (21) attempts a shot as Colorado State Rams forward Jevin Muniz (55) defends in the second half at Moby Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

Feb 21, 2026; Fort Collins, Colorado, USA; San Diego State Aztecs guard Miles Byrd (21) attempts a shot as Colorado State Rams forward Jevin Muniz (55) defends in the second half at Moby Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

MATCHUP UNLV Runnin Rebels San Diego State Aztecs
Team Records 16-14 19-10
Spread +9.5 -118 -9.5 -102
Moneyline +380 -500
Total Over 153.5 (-105) Under 153.5 (-115)
Where Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
When Friday, March 6, 2026
Time 10:00 PM EST
TV CBSSN
The UNLV Rebels and San Diego State Aztecs meet Friday in college basketball action at the Viejas Arena. Here’s a UNLV vs. San Diego State prediction. This article will include a UNLV vs. San Diego State pick.

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview


The UNLV Rebels beat Nevada and Utah State. UNLV has won 6 of its last 8 games.

The UNLV Rebels are averaging 80 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 78.5 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn is averaging 20.6 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Kimani Hamilton is averaging 12.7 points and 2.1 assists. Tyrin Jones is the third double-digit scorer and Howie Fleming Jr. is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The UNLV Rebels are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 69.2 percent from the free throw line. The UNLV Rebels are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.5 rebounds per game.

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview


The San Diego State Aztecs lost to New Mexico and Boise State. San Diego State has lost 4 of its last 5 games.

The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 79.1 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 71 points on 40 percent shooting. Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 13 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Miles Byrd is averaging 10.8 points and 4.5 rebounds. BJ Davis is the third double-digit scorer, and Magoon Gwath is dishing 0.3 assists. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 3.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.4 rebounds per game.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

Why the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will win

Total Points Facts

Matchup/League Facts

UNLV vs San Diego State Prediction


San Diego State is the better, deeper team and should be favored at home, but this is a lot of points for a team that’s lost 4 of its last 5 games. San Diego State lost to Colorado State and Grand Canyon during that stretch. Not great. SDSU has taken major steps back defensively. Sure, UNLV isn’t the team we saw earlier in the season but the fact we saw flashes of that team earlier shows there’s potential with this roster. UNLV has six road wins. UNLV isn’t a pushover and will have its chances if San Diego State continues to struggle. I want the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: UNLV +9.5

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