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UMBC vs Marist Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/21/24

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Marist (7-2) vs UMBC (6-5)

December 21, 2024 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Marist -3.5 / UMBC +3.5 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The UMBC Retrievers and Marist Red Foxes meet Saturday in college basketball action at the McCann Arena. Here’s a UMBC vs Marist Prediction. This article will include a UMBC vs Marist Pick.

UMBC Retrievers Betting Preview

The UMBC Retrievers beat Towson, lost to Georgia Tech, and they play American, Binghamton and NJIT next. The UMBC Retrievers are averaging 83 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 74.7 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Bryce Johnson is averaging 14.9 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Marcus Banks Jr. is averaging 13.4 points and 4.7 rebounds. Josh Odunowo is the third double-digit scorer and Ace Valentine is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The UMBC Retrievers are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 68.8 percent from the free throw line. The UMBC Retrievers are allowing 31.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.5 rebounds per game.

Marist Red Foxes Betting Preview

The Marist Red Foxes beat Manhattan and Stony Brook, and they play Binghamton, Iona and Quinnipiac next. The Marist Red Foxes are averaging 70.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 68.3 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Josh Pascarelli is averaging 18.2 points and 2.4 assists, while Elijah Lewis is averaging 11.7 points and 4.4 rebounds. Jackson Price is the third double-digit scorer and Jadin Collins-Roberts is dishing 3.4 assists. The Marist Red Foxes are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 67.2 percent from the free throw line. The Marist Red Foxes are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Marist Red Foxes will win

  • Marist has won eight of its last nine games at McCann Arena.
  • UMBC has lost four of its last five road games.
  • UMBC has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Marist’s last 16 day games at McCann Arena have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
  • Each of UMBC’s last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 148+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Marist ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (54.0).
  • Marist ranks 39th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (10.4).
  • UMBC ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (30.1).
  • UMBC ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.76).

UMBC vs Marist Prediction

The Marist Red Foxes have failed to cover 4 of their last 5 games, and we recently saw the UMBC Retrievers beat Towson as big road underdogs. You can consider the points with the road dog. However, Marist is unbeaten at home, and we’re not being asked to lay anything crazy. The Marist Red Foxes should be able to control the pace, slow the game down and limit UMBC’s chances to score in the 80s. I’ll lay the points with Marist, as the Red Foxes remain undefeated at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Marist -3.5

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