| MATCHUP | UMBC Retrievers | Marist Red Foxes |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Spread | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +140 | -166 |
| Total | Over 141.5 (-110) | Under 141.5 (-110) |
| Where | McCann Arena, Poughkeepsie, NY | |
| When | Thursday, November 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
UMBC vs Marist Prediction
Marist is probably the more talented team and should be favored at home, but UMBC has been kind to our picks over the years, and that includes covers in seven of its last 10 games. UMBC also hasn’t been an underdog often in recent years and usually has above-average athleticism that can be tricky for opponents.
We also can’t ignore that we just saw Marist lose to Dartmouth as a 7.5-point favorite. I’m not excited to follow that up by laying points again. In fact, Marist has outright lost four of its last six games as a favorite. Give me UMBC and the points on Thursday night.
UMBC Retrievers Betting Preview
The UMBC Retrievers lost to George Mason, and they play Morgan State and Iona next. UMBC has won 12 of its last 14 games.
The UMBC Retrievers are averaging 54 points on 27.8 percent shooting and allowing 82 points on 41.2 percent shooting. Aidan Able is averaging 13 points and 5 rebounds, while Devin Ceaser is averaging 11 points and 4 rebounds. Flash Burton is the third double-digit scorer, and Riley Jacobs is grabbing 6 rebounds. The UMBC Retrievers are shooting 25.8 percent from beyond the arc and 85.7 percent from the free-throw line. The UMBC Retrievers are allowing 30 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36 rebounds per game.
Marist Red Foxes Betting Preview
The Marist Red Foxes lost to Dartmouth, and they play UMass Lowell and Lehigh next. Marist has split its last 6 games.
The Marist Red Foxes are averaging 62 points on 37 percent shooting and allowing 69 points on 45 percent shooting. Jadin Collins-Roberts is averaging 13 points and 4 assists, while Myles Parker is averaging 13 points and 5 rebounds. Jack Graham is grabbing 1 rebound, and Dywane Chess is dishing 3 assists. The Marist Red Foxes are shooting 50 percent from beyond the arc and 81 percent from the free-throw line. The Marist Red Foxes are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30 rebounds per game.
Why the Marist Red Foxes will win
- Marist has won six of its last seven home night games against non-Conference opponents.
- UMBC has lost five of its last six games against non-Conference opponents.
- UMBC has lost the first half in three of its last four night games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the UMBC Retrievers will win
- UMBC has won seven of its last eight night games.
- Marist has lost six of its last seven home night games against the America East Conference.
- Marist has lost the first half in six of its last seven home night games against the America East Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Marist’s last seven home games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 135 or fewer points.
- Four of UMBC’s last five games against the Metro Conference have produced a total of 130 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Marist ranks T44th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (54.2%).
- UMBC ranks T351st among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (27.8%).
- UMBC ranks T19th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (85.7%).