UMBC vs Dayton Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a UMBC vs Dayton prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, November 8th at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

UMBC Retrievers Prediction 

The UMBC Retrievers are 1-0 this season after they defeated Penn State-York by a score of 74-53 in their first game. UMBC led 39-25 at halftime and held their opponent to just 28 points in the second half to secure the win. The Retrievers shot 42.9% from the field, 39.3% on three pointers, and 69.2% on free throws in the game. UMBC out rebounded their opponent by a total of 41-37, recorded 14 assists, and committed 11 turnovers in the win. Jah’likai King led UMBC with 23 points and eight rebounds, while DJ Armstrong Jr added 12 points and two steals in the game. 

UMBC faced a very easy opponent to start the year, but they played great defense in the win. The Retrievers held their opponent to 35% shooting from the field, allowed just one made three pointer, and forced 13 turnovers in the game. UMBC’s largest lead was 25 points, they had 30 points in the paint, and scored just three fast break points in the win. 

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

The Dayton Flyers are 1-0 this year after they defeated Canisius by a score of 88-48 in their first game. Dayton led 51-27 at halftime and allowed just 21 points in the second half for the blowout win. The Flyers shot 52.9% from the field, 25% on three pointers, and 68.3% on free throws in the game. Dayton out rebounded Canisius by a total of 33-31, recorded 16 assists, and committed just four turnovers in the win. Javon Bennett led the Flyers with 20 points and two assists, while Amael L’Etang added 17 points and six rebounds in the game. 

Dayton exploded for 51 points in the first half, which allowed them to take it easy in the second half for the win. The Flyers held Canisius to 36% shooting from the field, allowed just five made three pointers, and forced 19 turnovers in the game. Dayton’s largest lead was 40 points, they had 40 points in the paint, and scored 17 fast break points in the victory. 

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won each of its last 19 day games at University of Dayton Arena.
• UMBC has lost 12 of its last 13 road games following a home win.
• Dayton has won the first half in 21 of its last 27 games against non-Conference opponents at University of Dayton Arena.

Why the UMBC Retrievers will win

• UMBC has won the first half in four of its last five day games against non-Conference opponents.

UMBC vs Dayton Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with a 1-0 record, but Dayton was much more impressive, as UMBC played a non-D1 team. The Flyers dominated Canisius on both ends of the court and they shot nearly 53% from the field in the win. UMBC took care of business in their first game, but they only shot 43% from the field and less than 70% on free throws. This should be a game that Dayton dominates and I expect them to cruise to another easy victory. Take Dayton to cover at home.

David Racey's Pick: Dayton -23.5