| MATCHUP | UC Davis Aggies | UC San Diego Tritons |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 15-9 | 16-9 |
| Where | LionTree Arena, San Diego, CA | |
| When | Thursday, February 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a UC Davis vs UC San Diego Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, February 12th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
UC San Diego Tritons Preview
The UC San Diego Tritons have a 16-9 overall record this season and a 6-7 record in the Big West. They are coming off a 72-67 road loss against Hawaii and their previous four games were a 77-74 home win against Long Beach State, an 81-64 road loss against Cal State Northridge, a 62-48 home loss against UC Santa Barbara and a 61-59 road loss against UC Irvine.
Offensively, UC San Diego averages 76.8 points per game, while allowing 71.2 points per game defensively. The Tritons shoot with 46% from the field and grab 37.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.6 assists per game. They average 2.5 blocks per game and 7.6 steals per game defensively.
Leo Beath is the team’s leading scorer with an average of 13.8 points per game, while shooting with 45.1% from the field and 75% from the free throw line. Hudson Mayes is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.3 per game. Emanuel Prospere II leads the team in assists made with 3.5 per game.
UC Davis Aggies Preview
The UC Davis Aggies have a 15-9 overall record this season and an 8-5 record in the Big West. They are coming off a 67-58 home win against Cal Poly and their previous four games were an 85-75 home win against UC Santa Barbara, an 80-72 road win against Cal State Bakersfield, a 94-78 road loss against Cal State Northridge and a 74-66 home win against UC Riverside.
Offensively, UC Davis averages 79.3 points per game, while allowing 75.4 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 46% from the field and grab 34 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.1 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.
Connor Sevilla is the team’s leading scorer with an average of 13.8 points per game, while shooting with 43.9% from the field and 89.2% from the free throw line. Niko Rocak is the team’s leading rebounder with 5 per game. Brayden Fagbemi leads the team in assists made with 4.3 per game.
UC Davis Aggies @ UC San Diego Tritons Betting Trends: February 12, 2026
Why the UC San Diego Tritons will win
- UC Davis has lost seven of its last eight road games following a home win.
- UC San Diego has won four of its last five games against UC Davis.
- The home team has won the first half in each of UC San Diego’s last three games.
Why the UC Davis Aggies will win
- UC Davis has won four of its last five games.
- UC San Diego has lost four of its last five games.
- UC Davis has won the first half in each of its last four night games.
UC Davis vs UC San Diego Prediction
In this UC Davis vs UC San Diego Prediction, UC San Diego is coming as -4.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical records this season and exactly 9 defeats each. San Diego has been in a slump lately, with a 1-4 record in its last 5 games and 3-7 against the spread, while on the other hand, UC Davis is 6-2 in its last 8 games while having a better offense throughout the season. Given both teams’ recent form, I like the value with the road dog in this matchup, so take UC Davis and get the +4.5 points.