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UC Davis vs Hawai’i Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

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Michael Chow/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Hawai'i (14-14) vs UC Davis (15-13)

March 1, 2025 at 11:59 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Hawai'i -2.5 — Over/Under: 132.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UC-Davis Aggies are visiting the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on Saturday, March 1st at the SimpliFi Arena at Stan Sheriff Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UC-Davis Aggies vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction. We will examine:

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors son recent form and player performance

The UC-Davis Aggies recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-Davis Aggies

Recent betting trends in games played between UC-Davis Aggies and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for UC-Davis Aggies vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors game

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have a 14-14 record this season and are sitting on the 8th place of the Big West. They are coming off a 76-82 loss by UC Riverside. The Rainbow Warriors are 10-15-1 against the spread, and 12-13-1 in over/under, while having a 12-7 home record.

Offensively, Hawaii is averaging 69.9 points per game, which ranks 286th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.7 points per game (145th). The Rainbow Warriors shoot with 45.1% from the field (168th), and with 32% from beyond the arc (295th). The Rainbow Warriors shoot with 73.2% from the free-throw line (136th), and are grabbing 35.4 rebounds per game (175th).

Gytis Nemeiksa leads Hawaii in scoring with an average of 11.8 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Tanner Christensen adds 10.6 points and a team-high 6.9 rebounds per game.

UC-Davis Aggies Preview

The UC-Davis Aggies have a 15-13 record this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the Big West. The Aggies are coming off a 62-65 loss by Cal State Northridge. The Aggies are 15-10-1 against the spread, and 10-16-1 in over/under, while having a 7-9 road record.

Offensively, UC-Davis is averaging 68.3 points per game, which ranks 316th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.9 points per game (88th). The Aggies shoot with 41.6% from the field (331st), and with 32.2% from beyond the arc (280th). The Aggies shoot with 73.9% from the free-throw line (108th), and are grabbing 33.6 rebounds per game (281st).

TY Johnson leads UC-Davis in scoring this season, with 21.5 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Pablo Tamba adds 10.6 points and 5.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win

  • Hawaii has won each of its last seven games at SimpliFi Arena at Stan Sheriff Center following a home loss.
  • UC Davis has lost nine of its last 10 away games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • UC Davis has lost the first half in each of its last nine games at SimpliFi Arena at Stan Sheriff Center.

Why the UC Davis Aggies will win

  • Hawaii has lost five of its last six games.
  • UC Davis has won four of its last five games against Hawaii.
  • UC Davis has won the first half in four of its last five games against Hawaii.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Hawaii ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (3.7).
  • Hawaii ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.8).
  • UC Davis ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.6).
  • UC Davis ranks T21st among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.81).

UC-Davis Aggies vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction

UC-Davis is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against Hawaii, and are 3-1-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Over is 3-2-1 in their last 6 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, UC-Davis won 68-66 at home, as the game went under the point total.

In this UC-Davis Aggies vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction, Hawaii coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical records this season, but Hawaii is strong at home, while UC Davis is below average on the road. Hawaii has been struggling lately, as they are 2-8 in their last 10 games and 2-7-1 against the spread, while on the other hand, UC Davis has been keeping games close, as they are 6-3-1 against the spread in their last 10 games. UC Davis has been dominating Hawaii in recent years, and I expect them to keep this one close, so I really like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the UC-Davis Aggies and the plus points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UC-Davis Aggies +2.5

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