| MATCHUP | UC Davis Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-7 | 7-11 |
| Where | Mott Athletics Center, San Luis Obispo, CA | |
| When | Saturday, January 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 05:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Cal Poly Mustangs Preview
Cal Poly Mustangs have a 6-11 record this season and are tied for 9th place in Big West Conference. They have a 3-3 home record and are coming off a 74-66 away loss against Long Beach State. Their previous three games were a 67-65 home win against UC San Diego, an 83-80 home loss against Idaho and a 108-87 away loss against UCLA.
Offensively, Cal Poly averages 81.2 points per game, while allowing 85.7 points per game defensively. The Mustangs shoot with 42% from the field and grab 39.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.7 assists per game. They average 2.2 blocks per game and 6.5 steals per game defensively.
Hamad Mousa leads Cal Poly in scoring, with an average of 21.7 points per game, while shooting with 45.4% from the field and 84.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.3 rebounds. Peter Bandelj adds a team-high 3.3 assists per game.
UC Davis Aggies Preview
UC Davis Aggies have a 9-6 record this season and are tied for 5th place in Big West Conference. They have a 3-4 road record and are coming off a 93-86 away win against UC Santa Barbara. Their previous three games were an 81-79 home loss against Cal State Bakersfield, an 89-80 home win against Cal State Northridge and a 108-52 home win against Pacific Union.
Offensively, UC Davis averages 81.2 points per game, while allowing 75.9 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 48% from the field and grab 33.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.6 assists per game. They average 2.7 blocks per game and 8.2 steals per game defensively.
Nils Cooper leads UC Davis in scoring, with an average of 14.3 points per game, while shooting with 55.1% from the field and 75.4% from the free throw line. Niko Rocak is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.4 per game, while Brayden Fagbemi adds a team-high 4.7 assists per game.
UC Davis Aggies @ Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Trends: January 10, 2026
Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win
- UC Davis has lost each of its last six Saturday games.
- The home team has won four of Cal Poly’s last five games.
- UC Davis has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against Conference opponents.
Why the UC Davis Aggies will win
- UC Davis has won each of its last 11 day games against Cal Poly.
- Cal Poly has lost 28 of its last 32 day games against Conference opponents.
- Cal Poly has lost the first half in 18 of its last 22 home games against Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last 15 games between UC Davis and Cal Poly have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.
- Forty of UC Davis’ last 42 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 166 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Cal Poly ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (16.1).
- Cal Poly ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (76.2).
- UC Davis ranks 42nd among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.9).
- UC Davis ranks 47th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (60.1%).
UC Davis vs Cal Poly Prediction
In this UC Davis vs Cal Poly Prediction, UC Davis is coming as -2 road favorites. UC Davis has been the better team this season, but they have been below average on the road, while Cal Poly has been mediocre at home. UC Davis has been in better form lately, with a 4-1 record in its last 5 games and 4-1 against the spread, while on the other hand, Cal Poly is 2-6 in its last 8 games and 3-4 against the spread. UC Davis has a superior defense, allowing 9.8 points per game less than Cal Poly and I like them as road favorites in this spot. Take UC Davis and lay the points.