Arkansas (1-1) vs Troy (2-0)
Game Info: Wednesday, November 13, 2024 at 8:00 pm (Bud Walton Arena)
The Line: Betting Odds: Arkansas -13 / Troy +13 — Over/Under: 149.5
The Troy Trojans are visiting the Arkansas Razorbacks on Wednesday, November 13th at the Bud Walton Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction.
Arkansas Razorbacks Preview
The Arkansas Razorbacks have a balanced 1-1 record this season and are tied with two more teams in the last place of the Southeastern. They have a 1-0 home record and are 0-1-1 against the spread and 0-2 in over/under.
Offensively, Arkansas is not performing well, with just 71.5 points per game, which ranks 277th in the nation, while defensively they are in the middle of the pack, allowing 66 points per game (123rd). The Razorbacks have a 47.9% field goal percentage (137th), while they struggle mightily from beyond the arc, with just 23.1%, which ranks 345th in the nation.
Arkansas is coming off a 67-72 road loss in Baylor, not covering the spread and the game went under the 156-point total. The Razorbacks had trouble shooting the ball, with just 41% from the field and 25% from downtown. Abou Thiero led Arkansas’ offense with 24 points and 6 rebounds.
Boogie Fland leads Arkansas in scoring this season, with 17 points, 4 rebounds, and a team-high 5 assists. Abou Thiero adds 16 points and 5 rebounds. Arkansas will face Pacific, Little Rock, Maryland Eastern Shore, and Illinois following this one.
Troy Trojans Preview
The Troy Trojans have a perfect 2-0 record this season and are tied with Texas State in the first place of the Sun Belt. They have a 1-0 road record and are 2-0 against the spread, and 1-1 in over/under.
Offensively, Troy is averaging 81 points per game, which ranks 156th in the nation, while defensively they allow 67.5 points per game (140th). The 49ers shot 47.7% from the field (146th) and just 30.4% from beyond the arc (252nd).
Troy is coming off a 78-61 win in New Orleans, covering the spread and the game went under the 152-point total. The Trojans played excellent defense, holding New Orleans into just 37% from the field and 20% from downtown while winning the battle of the boards (44-30). Jackson Fields led Troy’s offense with 15 points and a team-high 10 rebounds.
Tayton Conerway leads Troy in scoring this season, with 12.5 points, 4 rebounds, and a team-high 6 assists. Jackson Fields adds 12.5 points and a team-high 7.5 rebounds. Troy will meet Oregon, West Georgia, UTSA, and Merrimack after this game.
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win
- Troy has lost each of its last 12 games against the Southeastern Conference.
- Arkansas has won 43 of its last 44 games against non-conference opponents at Bud Walton Arena.
- Arkansas has won the first half in each of its last 14 Wednesday night games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Troy has won each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
- Troy has won the first half in 14 of its last 16 games.
Troy Trojans vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction
Arkansas has won all three previous meetings against Troy, going for 2-1 against the spread. In their previous meeting in 2022, Arkansas won at home, 74-61. In this Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, Arkansas is coming as a -13 home favorite. Arkansas has been mediocre in its two games this season and I cannot make a case to back them up as big home favorites. Troy boasts a better offense, scoring almost 10 points more than Arkansas, and both teams are very close defensively. I expect Troy to keep this somewhat close, so get the Troy Trojans and lay the points on the road.