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Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Dec 1, 2025; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Bowling Green Falcons guard Josiah Shackelford (4) and Kansas State Wildcats guards Mobi Ikegwuruka (14) and C.J. Jones (3) go after a loose ball during the second half at Bramlage Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Scott Sewell-Imagn Images

Dec 1, 2025; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Bowling Green Falcons guard Josiah Shackelford (4) and Kansas State Wildcats guards Mobi Ikegwuruka (14) and C.J. Jones (3) go after a loose ball during the second half at Bramlage Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Scott Sewell-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Toledo Rockets Bowling Green Falcons
Team Records 13-12 15-10
Spread +3.5 -108 -3.5 -112
Moneyline +150 -180
Total Over 150.5 (-108) Under 150.5 (-112)
Where Stroh Center, Bowling Green, OH
When Saturday, February 14, 2026
Time 05:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+
In this article we will formulate a Toledo vs Bowling Green prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 14th at the Stroh Center in Bowling Green, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Toledo Rockets Betting Preview

The Toledo Rockets are 13-12 (7-5) this season after they defeated Western Michigan by a score of 90-79 in their last game. Toledo led 50-41 at halftime and they added 40 points in the second half to secure the win. The Rockets shot 59% from the field, 47% on three pointers, and 61% on free throws in the game. Sonny Wilson led Toledo with 18 points and five rebounds, while Austin Parks added 17 points and four assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, Toledo lost to James Madison by a score of 73-71 and Kent State by a score of 75-72. The Rockets have scored 81.3 points per game with 33.8 rebounds and 15.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.5 points against per game this season. Sonny Wilson is averaging 17.2 points and 4.7 assists per game, while Leroy Blyden Jr is averaging 16.0 points and 4.0 assists per game for the Rockets. Toledo is shooting 48.0% from the field, 76.9% on free throws, and 35.3% on three pointers this season. 

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons are 15-10 (6-6) this year after they defeated NIU by a score of 68-52 in their last game. Bowling Green led 38-19 at halftime, but they were outscored 33-30 in the second half in the win. The Falcons shot 50% from the field, 31% on three pointers, and 82% on free throws in the game. Mayar Wol led Bowling Green with 15 points and four rebounds, while Javontae Campbell added 13 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Bowling Green lost to Arkansas State by a score of 91-54, but did beat Ball State by a score of 77-52 before that. The Falcons have scored 82.4 points per game with 36.0 rebounds and 14.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 70.2 points against per game this season. Javontae Campbell is averaging 18.5 points and 5.0 assists per game, while Sam Towns is averaging 11.9 points and 6.5 rebounds per game for the Falcons. Bowling Green is shooting 48.4% from the field, 74.0% on free throws, and 33.7% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

Total Points Facts

Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction 

Bowling Green comes into this matchup after winning two of their last three games and they have allowed 62 points or fewer in three of their last four. The Falcons are shooting 48% from the field and they average nearly 11 steals per game. Toledo has split their last four games, but the two losses during that span coming by a combined five points. The Rockets are shooting 48% from the field, but they have allowed 79+ points in two of their last five. I think Toledo is the better team in this matchup, so I like them with the points here.

David Racey's Pick: Toledo +4.5

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