| MATCHUP | The Citadel Bulldogs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Spread | +16.5 -102 | -16.5 -118 |
| Moneyline | +1000 | -1800 |
| Total | Over 139.5 (-110) | Under 139.5 (-110) |
| Where | Freedom Hall (TN), Johnson City, TN | |
| When | Friday, January 23, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a The Citadel vs East Tennessee State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, January 23rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers Preview
East Tennessee State Buccaneers have a 14-6 record this season and are in the 1st place of the SoCon. They have a 6-1 conference record and are coming off a 67-66 away win against Chattanooga. Their previous three games were a 76-75 away win against Samford, a 72-68 away loss against Western Carolina and an 86-60 home win against UNC Greensboro.
Offensively, East Tennessee State averages 77.5 points per game, while allowing 66.9 points per game defensively. The Buccaneers shoot with 49% from the field and grab 34.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.4 assists per game. They average 3.7 blocks per game and 9.5 steals per game defensively.
Brian Taylor II leads East Tennessee State in scoring, with an average of 14.5 points per game, while shooting with 47.5% from the field and 78.5% from the free throw line. Blake Barkley is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.2 per game. Allen Strothers leads the team in assists with 3.3 per game.
The Citadel Bulldogs Preview
The Citadel Bulldogs have a 6-14 record this season and are tied in the 6th place of the SoCon. They have a 3-4 conference record and are coming off a 77-75 overtime home win against Furman. Their previous three games were an 82-68 away win against VMI, a 69-66 overtime away loss against UNC Greensboro and a 79-77 overtime home win against Western Carolina.
Offensively, The Citadel averages 70.8 points per game, while allowing 77.3 points per game defensively. The Bulldogs shoot with 42% from the field and grab 34.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.6 assists per game. They average 2.2 blocks per game and 5.0 steals per game defensively.
Braxton Williams leads The Citadel in scoring, with an average of 13.6 points per game, while shooting with 40.5% from the field and 82.7% from the free throw line. Sola Adebisi is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.2 per game. Eze Wali leads the team in assists with 2.2 per game.
The Citadel Bulldogs @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers Betting Trends: January 24, 2026
Why the East Tennessee State Buccaneers will win
- East Tennessee State has won each of its last nine games at Freedom Hall Civic Center following a road win.
- The Citadel has lost each of its last 10 Saturday day road games against Conference opponents.
- East Tennessee State has won the first half in each of its last seven games against The Citadel.
Why the The Citadel Bulldogs will win
- The Citadel has won three of its last four games.
- The road team has won the first half in each of The Citadel’s last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of The Citadel’s last nine day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 141+ points.
- Each of East Tennessee State’s last five day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 141+ points.
The Citadel vs East Tennessee State Prediction
In this The Citadel vs East Tennessee State Prediction, East Tennessee State is coming as -17 home favorites. East Tennessee State has been the better team this season with a better overall record and has been almost perfect at home, while The Citadel has been terrible on the road with just one win in 9 road games. East Tennessee State is 6-1 in its last 7 games but 2-8 against the spread in their last 10, while The Citadel is 3-1 in its last 4 and has covered the spread in its last 4 games. Given both teams’ recent form, I am not willing to lay -17 with East Tennessee State, as they are averaging just 70.3 points per game in their last three games. Take a stab with the big dog in this matchup, so take The Citadel and the +17 points.