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Texas vs NC State Prediction 3/17/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Mar 12, 2026; Charlotte, NC, USA; NC State Wolfpack guard Quadir Copeland (11) and guard Jr. Paul McNeil (2) in the final seconds during the second half against the Virginia Cavaliers at Spectrum Center. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images

Mar 12, 2026; Charlotte, NC, USA; NC State Wolfpack guard Quadir Copeland (11) and guard Jr. Paul McNeil (2) in the final seconds during the second half against the Virginia Cavaliers at Spectrum Center. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Texas Longhorns NC State Wolfpack
Team Records 18-14 20-13
Spread -1.5 114 +1.5 -135
Moneyline -110 -110
Total Over 158.5 (-108) Under 158.5 (-112)
Where UD Arena, Dayton, OH
When Tuesday, March 17, 2026
Time 09:15 PM EDT
TV truTV
In this article we will formulate a Texas vs NC State prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, March 17th at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NCAA Tournament First Four matchup.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

The Texas Longhorns are 18-14 (9-9) this year after they lost to Ole Miss by a score of 76-66 in their last game. Texas trailed 41-30 at halftime, but did win the second half 36-35 in the loss. The Longhorns shot 35% from the field, 35% on three pointers, and 84% on free throws in the game. Dailyn Swain led Texas with 22 points and 12 rebounds, while Jordan Pope added 16 points and three rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Texas lost to Oklahoma by a score of 88-85 and Arkansas by a score of 105-85. The Longhorns have scored 83.8 points per game with 37.7 rebounds and 12.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 76.8 points against per game this season. Dailyn Swain is averaging 17.8 points and 7.6 rebounds per game, while Matas Vokietaitis is averaging 15.5 points and 6.8 rebounds per game for the Longhorns. Texas is shooting 48.6% from the field, 75.2% on free throws, and 35.3% on three pointers this year. 

NC State Wolfpack Betting Preview

The NC State Wolfpack are 20-13 (10-8) this season after they lost to Virginia by a score of 81-74 in their last game. NC State only trailed 33-32 at halftime, but they allowed 48 points in the second half in the loss. The Wolfpack shot 37% from the field, 50% on three pointers, and 88% on free throws in the game. Paul McNeil Jr led NC State with 26 points and six rebounds, while Ven-Allen Lubin added 14 points and 10 rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, NC State defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 98-88, but lost to Stanford by a score of 85-84 before that. The Wolfpack have scored 83.7 points per game with 34.5 rebounds and 15.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 76.5 points against per game this season. Paul McNeil Jr. is averaging 13.9 points and 3.6 rebounds per game, while Quadir Copeland is averaging 13.9 points and 6.6 assists per game for the Wolfpack. NC State is shooting 46.8% from the field, 76.8% on free throws, and 38.8% on three pointers this season. 

Why the NC State Wolfpack will win

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

Total Points Facts

Matchup/League Facts

Texas vs NC State Prediction 

Both of these teams finished the season playing pretty poorly, so they will look to turn things around in the First Four here. Texas is shooting 49% from the field and they have allowed 76+ points in four of their last five. NC State is shooting 47% from the field and they have allowed 81+ in five straight. Neither team has played much defense recently, but I think we will see some focus on the defenses here, as the stakes are so high. Take the under in this one.

David Racey's Pick: Under 158.5

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