| MATCHUP | Texas Longhorns | Arkansas Razorbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 18-11 | 21-8 |
| Spread | +7.5 -118 | -7.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | +250 | -310 |
| Total | Over 166.5 (-108) | Under 166.5 (-112) |
| Where | Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR | |
| When | Wednesday, March 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
The Texas Longhorns and the Arkansas Razorbacks meet Wednesday in college basketball action from Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville. Here’s a Texas vs Arkansas prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas vs Arkansas pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
This year the Longhorns started out on an 11-6 run across their first 17 games. Next came losses to Texas A&M, Kentucky and Auburn over the next four outings, then wins over Oklahoma, South Carolina, Ole Miss, Missouri and LSU. After losses to Georgia and Florida before a win over Texas A&M, the Longhorns are now sitting at 18-11 over 29 games this year.
In the Texas A&M matchup over the weekend the Longhorns were down by one point going into the second half 30-29. Texas came back on a 47-40 run the rest of the way and eventually powered out the victory 76-70 on the road. Leading the team in scoring was Tramon Mark with 23 points, four rebounds and two assists. Dailyn Swain added 11 points and 10 rebounds for a double-double.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview
Over on the Razorbacks’ side, they were sitting at 12-3 in their first 15 games this year then lost to Auburn and Georgia over the next trio. Wins over Vanderbilt, LSU, Oklahoma, Mississippi State, LSU and Auburn came in the next seven, then a 2-2 run with losses to Alabama and Florida among wins over Missouri and Texas A&M. That makes for a 21-8 record this year so far.
Back on Saturday versus Florida the Razorbacks were in major trouble at the break, looking up at a 53-34 deficit on the scoreboard. In the second half things didn’t get any better on a 58-43 run and Arkansas limped to a 111-77 loss on the road as the game concluded. Leading the charge was Billy Richmond with 22 points, six rebounds and three assists with a pair of steals.
Texas Longhorns @ Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends: March 4, 2026
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win
- Arkansas has won 40 of its last 42 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Bud Walton Arena.
- Texas has lost the first half in three of its last four road games.
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
- Texas has won each of its last three games against teams with an AP Ranking of 20.
Texas vs Arkansas Prediction
I’ll lean toward Texas. The Longhorns were able to post a solid road win over Texas A&M last weekend, shooting 43.5 percent from the field and a nice 93.8 percent (15-of-16) from the line. Texas added a 37-30 advantage on the boards and just nine turnovers along the way while giving up just 38.3 percent shooting on defense. The Longhorns are 6-2 in their last eight games but just 1-2 in their last three.
As for Arkansas, they shot just 40 percent from the field while giving up 56.5 percent shooting to Florida in their latest road loss. The Razorbacks added just 54.2 percent shooting from the line (13-of-24) with a 48-27 rebounding deficit and a 56-44 disadvantage on points in the paint. Arkansas is still 5-2 in their last seven games though, and should match up much better with Texas in this home game.