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Texas Tech vs Arizona State Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Arizona State (13-17) vs Texas Tech (23-7)

March 8, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona State +9.5 — Over/Under: 150.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Arizona State Sun Devils meet Saturday in college basketball action from ASU Wells Fargo Arena. Here’s a Texas Tech vs Arizona State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas Tech vs Arizona State pick. We will examine: 

The Texas Tech Red Raiders recent form and player performance

The Arizona State Sun Devils recent form and player performance 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Tech Red Raiders

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona State Sun Devils

Recent betting trends in games played between Texas Tech and Arizona State

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Texas Tech vs Arizona State game

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

Texas Tech has been quite the consistent team so far this year, with no instances of consecutive losses. The Raiders opened the season on an 11-4 run, falling only Saint Joseph’s, Texas A&M, UCF and Iowa State in that time. A win streak came next as the Raiders took out Kansas State, Arizona, Cincinnati, Oklahoma State, TCU, Houston and Baylor. Since then it’s been a 5-3 stretch with losses to Arizona, TCU and Houston. The wins otherwise have been versus Arizona State, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Kansas and Colorado. That gives Texas Tech an overall record of 23-7 through the first 30 games of the season. 

In the Colorado matchup on Wednesday, Texas Tech went into the second half with a 45-33 edge. The Raiders kept it up in the second half with a 46-42 advantage and took the victory in the end 91-75. JT Toppin led the team on a double-double with 30 points, 14 rebounds, one assist, one steal and one block in 32 minutes. Chance McMillian added 15 points with three assists and two rebounds, while Christian Anderson had 12 points and four boards off the bench during the victory effort. 

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

Over on the Arizona State side, they were looking great back in early December but it’s been a slew of losses in some tough matchups since then. The Sun Devils started at 8-1, then took losses to Florida, BYU, Kansas, Baylor, UCF and Cincinnati over the next eight games. Arizona State would beat West Virginia and Colorado in the next trio, then lost to Arizona, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, TCU and Houston. After another win over Kansas State the Sun Devils have since taken losses to BYU, Utah and Arizona in their last trio. That gives Arizona State a 13-17 record across 30 games so far this year. 

In the Arizona matchup on the road Tuesday, the Sun Devils went into the second half with a 55-47 deficit. Arizona State didn’t get any closer than that on a 58-53 run and took the eventual loss 113-100 in the end. Tops in scoring was Alston Mason with 33 points, six assists and two steals. Joson Sanon had 19 points with five rebounds and two assists with two blocks, and Basheer Jihad had 15 points, seven rebounds and two assists in 32 minutes. 

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Arizona State has lost each of its last eight home games.
  • Texas Tech has won 11 of its last 12 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Texas Tech has won the first half in nine of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Four of Arizona State’s last five home games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Texas Tech vs Arizona Prediction 

I’ll lean toward the Sun Devils. Arizona State put up a valiant effort in a tough road rivalry matchup against Arizona this week, but couldn’t keep pace in the end. The Sun Devils shot 46.3 percent from the field and 52.2 percent (12-of-23) from outside with just four turnovers in that one. Arizona State also allowed 59 percent shooting on the other side and got outmuscled on the boards 38-28, though. That makes 91 or more points surrendered in three straight games, but the Sun Devils are scoring pretty well themselves. 

Texas Tech has scored a combined 169 points across their last pair so Arizona State will have to step on the gas offensively in order to keep a cover pace. I think the Sun Devils can pull it off if all goes well, though. 

Andrew Jett's Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils +9.5

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