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Texas Southern vs Alabama State Prediction 1/27/25 College Basketball Picks

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Alabama State (8-11) vs Texas Southern (8-11)

January 27, 2025 at 08:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Alabama State -2.5 — Over/Under: 145.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Southern Tigers and Alabama State Hornets meet Monday in college basketball action at the Dunn-Oliver Academy. Here’s a Texas Southern vs Alabama State Prediction. This article will include a Texas Southern vs Alabama State Pick.

Texas Southern Tigers Betting Preview

The Texas Southern Tigers beat Alabama A&M and Jackson State, and they play Prairie View A&M, Arkansas-Pine Bluff, and Florida A&M next. The Texas Southern Tigers are averaging 73 points on 42.4 percent shooting and allowing 77 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Kevion McClain is averaging 14.2 points and 2.9 rebounds, while Zaire Hayes is averaging 10.1 points and 1.8 rebounds. Kenny Hunter is grabbing 6.2 rebounds and Duane Posey is dishing 0.6 assists. The Texas Southern Tigers are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73.6 percent from the free throw line. The Texas Southern Tigers are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game.

Alabama State Hornets Betting Preview

The Alabama State Hornets beat Alabama A&M and Prairie View A&M, and they play Bethune-Cookman, Florida A&M, and Grambling next. The Alabama State Hornets are averaging 75.8 points on 41.7 percent shooting and allowing 77.7 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Amarr Knox is averaging 15.1 points and 1.9 rebounds, while CJ Hines is averaging 14.6 points and 2.9 rebounds. TJ Madlock is the third double-digit scorer and Micah Simpson is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The Alabama State Hornets are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 68.3 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama State Hornets are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

  • Alabama State has won each of its last six games at Dunn-Oliver Acadome against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • The home team has won the first half in six of Alabama State’s last seven games.

Why the Texas Southern Tigers will win

  • Texas Southern has won 15 of its last 16 night games against Alabama State.
  • Alabama State has lost four of its last five night games against Conference opponents.
  • The road team has won the first half in three of the last four games between Texas Southern and Alabama State.

Total Points Facts

  • Ten of Alabama State’s last 11 night games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference at Dunn-Oliver Acadome have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.
  • Each of Texas Southern’s last four night games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama State ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (63.5).
  • Alabama State ranks T35th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.6).
  • Texas Southern ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (71.9).
  • Texas Southern ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.1).

Texas Southern vs Alabama State Injury Report

Neither Texas Southern nor Alabama State have a player listed on its injury report.

Texas Southern vs Alabama State Prediction

The Alabama State Hornets are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, where they’re undefeated through five games. However, you can make an argument Texas Southern is the better team. Texas Southern certainly defends better and probably has the best player on the floor. Texas Southern has also won nine of the last 10 games against Alabama State. Alabama State hasn’t beaten Texas Southern since February 2020. Not my favorite game on Monday’s card, as Texas Southern and Alabama State are a combined 11-21-2 ATS on the season. However, if forced to pick, I’d grab the bucket with Texas Southern on the road. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Texas Southern +2.5

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