| MATCHUP | Tennessee Volunteers | Mississippi State Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 16-7 | 11-12 |
| Spread | -6.5 -115 | +6.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | -310 | +250 |
| Total | Over 147.5 (-115) | Under 147.5 (-105) |
| Where | Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS | |
| When | Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers beat Ole Miss, lost to Kentucky, and they play LSU next. Tennessee has won 9 of its last 13 games.
The Tennessee Volunteers are averaging 81.8 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 69.8 points on 40.4 percent shooting. Ja’Kobi Gillespie is averaging 18.5 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Nate Ament is averaging 17.6 points and 2.5 assists. JP Estrella is dishing 0.8 assists and Jaylen Carey is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Tennessee Volunteers are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 69.2 percent from the free throw line. The Tennessee Volunteers are allowing 29.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.2 rebounds per game.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs lost to Missouri and Arkansas, and they play Ole Miss next. Mississippi State has lost 7 of its last 8 games.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 77.9 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 78.2 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Josh Hubbard is averaging 20.6 points and 3.6 assists, while Jayden Epps is averaging 14.7 points and 2.5 rebounds. Quincy Ballard is grabbing 6.4 rebounds and Ja’Borri McGhee is dishing 1.9 assists. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 30.6 percent from beyond the arc and 68.5 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Mississippi State has won 28 of its last 34 night games at Humphrey Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won 26 of its last 29 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Mississippi State has lost seven of its last eight games against Conference opponents.
- Mississippi State has lost the first half in four of its last five games against Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Six of the last seven night games between Tennessee and Mississippi State have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.
- Eight of Tennessee’s last 10 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 150+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Mississippi State ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.2).
- Mississippi State ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (63.2).
- Tennessee ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (43.1).
- Tennessee is one of only six teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last three NCAA Tournament appearances.
Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction
Mississippi State is in awful form, and it’s challenging to back this club with confidence. However, Tennessee has underachieved for much of the season, and it is 9-14 ATS on the season. Tennessee has also lost 4 of its 6 road games. You can argue Mississippi State will have the best player on the floor, and Starkville still isn’t an easy place to play. I’m not excited to get involved in this game either way, but this feels like too much respect for a whatever Tennessee team. It’s Miss State, and the points or pass for me.