TCU vs UCF Prediction 2/17/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a TCU vs UCF prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, February 17th at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs are 16-9 (6-6) this season after they defeated Oklahoma State by a score of 95-92 in overtime. TCU led 39-34 at halftime, but they allowed 50 points in the second half, before escaping with the win in overtime. The Horned Frogs shot 45% from the field, 48% on three pointers, and 78% on free throws in the game. David Punch led TCU with 19 points and six rebounds, while Jayden Pierre added 18 points and four assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, TCU defeated Iowa State by a score of 62-55 and Kansas State by a score of 84-82. The Horned Frogs have scored 78.9 points per game with 35.8 rebounds and 15.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.1 points against per game this season. David Punch is averaging 14.3 points and 6.9 rebounds per game, while Xavier Edmonds is averaging 12.4 points and 6.0 rebounds per game for the Horned Frogs. TCU is shooting 45.4% from the field, 71.4% on free throws, and 33.8% on three pointers this season. 

UCF Knights Betting Preview

The UCF Knights are 17-7 (6-6) this year after they lost to West Virginia by a score of 74-67 in their last game. UCF led 29-28 at halftime, but they were outscored 46-38 in the second half for the loss. The Knights shot 42% from the field, 33% on three pointers, and 81% on free throws in the game. Themus Fulks led UCF with 19 points and seven assists, while Riley Kugel added 13 points and two assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, UCF lost to Cincinnati by a score of 92-72 and Houston by a score of 79-55. The Knights have scored 81.8 points per game with 37.3 rebounds and 16.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.7 points against per game this season. Riley Kugel is averaging 14.3 points and 3.3 rebounds per game, while Themus Fulks is averaging 13.5 points and 6.8 assists per game for the Knights. UCF is shooting 47.1% from the field, 74.5% on free throws, and 37.1% on three pointers this year. 

Why the UCF Knights will win

• UCF has won eight of its last nine night games at Addition Financial Arena.
• TCU has lost six of its last seven road night games against the Big 12 Conference.
• UCF has won the first half in 25 of its last 32 night games at Addition Financial Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• TCU has won each of its last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• UCF has lost each of its last three games against Conference opponents.
• TCU has won the first half in six of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Fourteen of TCU’s last 15 night games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
• Each of UCF’s last five night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.

TCU vs UCF Prediction 

TCU comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they are starting to build some momentum towards the NCAA Tournament. The Horned Frogs are shooting 45% from the field, but they have allowed at least 79 points in four of their last five. UCF has lost three in a row, including two losses by at least 20 points. The Knights are shooting 47% from the field and they have allowed at least 76 points in four of their last five. I think these teams are very evenly matched, but TCU has all of the momentum right now. Take the Horned Frogs here.

David Racey's Pick: TCU +2.5