| MATCHUP | TCU Horned Frogs | Texas Tech Red Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 19-10 | 22-7 |
| Spread | +8.5 -105 | -8.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +350 | -455 |
| Total | Over 147.5 (-115) | Under 147.5 (-105) |
| Where | United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX | |
| When | Tuesday, March 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FS1 | |
The TCU Horned Frogs and the Texas Tech Red Raiders meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the United Supermarkets Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction.
TCU Horned Frogs Recap
The TCU Horned Frogs come into this game looking to add on to their 77-68 win over Kansas State last time out to sit at 19-10 this season. After this game, TCU will head home for the regular season finale against Cincinnati.
Horned Frogs Win 3 In A Row
David Punch leads the Horned Frogs in scoring and rebounding with 13.9 PPG and 6.6 RPG while Jayden Pierre has 10 PPG with 2.1 RPG and 2.6 APG and Xavier Edmonds has 12.7 PPG with 6.6 RPG. Micah Robinson has 10.6 PPG with 4.8 RPG as well this season to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for TCU up to this point in the year. Brock Harding has 8.3 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 5.9 APG to lead the Horned Frogs in assists. As a team, TCU is averaging 78.3 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 33.1% from three and 70.7% from the foul line this season.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Recap
The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into this game looking to add on to their 82-73 win over Iowa State last time out to sit at 22-7 this season. After this game, Texas Tech will head on the road for their regular season finale against BYU.
Red Raiders Win 3 Straight As Well
JT Toppin leads the Red Raiders in scoring and rebounding with 21.8 PPG and 10.8 RPG along with 2.1 APG but is missing the rest of the season with injury while Christian Anderson has 19.4 PPG with 3.8 RPG and a. team-high of 7.7 APG. Donovan Atwell has 13.1 PPG with 3.2 RPG while LeJuan Watts has 12 PPG with 6.1 RPG and 2.5 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Texas Tech up to this point in the year. Jaylen Petty has 9.1 PPG, 3.9 RPG and 2.2 APG as well on the year. As a team, Texas Tech is averaging 82 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field, 39.5% from three and 71.6% from the foul line this season.
TCU Horned Frogs @ Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Trends: March 3, 2026
Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win
- Texas Tech has won each of its last 19 games at United Supermarkets Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- TCU has lost nine of its last 10 games at United Supermarkets Arena.
- Texas Tech has won the first half in each of its last 14 games at United Supermarkets Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- TCU has won six of its last seven games.
- TCU has won the first half in four of its last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas Tech’s last four night games have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
- Each of TCU’s last three games against teams with an AP Ranking of 10 have produced a total of 149+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas Tech ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.5).
- Texas Tech ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (56.5%).
- TCU ranks T29th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.7).
- TCU ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.0).
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction
I’m on Texas Tech here. Sure, the Red Raiders are off the Iowa State win and are still missing JT Toppin, but the thing here is that Texas Tech at Lubbock has been so hard to knock off over the years, and the Horned Frogs just haven’t been the same team on the road for much of the year. The Horned Frogs are still able to be competitive, but I think the Red Raiders pull away in the second half for the win and cover.