TCU vs Kansas Prediction 3/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Kansas Jayhawks guard Darryn Peterson (22) shoots the ball against Kansas State Wildcats guard David Castillo (10) during the Sunflower Showdown game in Lawrence, Kansas, on Saturday, March 7, 2026.
MATCHUP
TCU Horned Frogs
Kansas Jayhawks
Team Records
22-10
22-9
Spread
+5.5 -105
-5.5 -115
Moneyline
+210
-258
Total
Over 142.5 (-115)
Under 142.5 (-105)
Where
T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
When
Thursday, March 12, 2026
Time
09:30 PM EDT
TV
ESPN2
The TCU Horned Frogs and the Kansas Jayhawks meet Thursday in college basketball action from the T-Mobile Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks prediction.
TCU Horned Frogs Recap
The TCU Horned Frogs come into this game off of the 95-88 win over Oklahoma State last time out.
Horned Frogs Looking To Spring Upset
David Punch leads the Horned Frogs in scoring and rebounding with 13.9 PPG and 6.6 RPG while Jayden Pierre has 10 PPG with 2.1 RPG and 2.6 APG and Xavier Edmonds has 12.7 PPG with 6.6 RPG. Micah Robinson has 10.6 PPG with 4.8 RPG as well this season to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for TCU up to this point in the year. Brock Harding has 8.3 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 5.9 APG to lead the Horned Frogs in assists. As a team, TCU is averaging 78.3 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 33.1% from three and 70.7% from the foul line this season.
Kansas Jayhawks Recap
The Kansas Jayhawks come into this game as the 3-seed, finishing the year at 22-9 overall including 12-6 in Big 12 conference play.
Jayhawks Looking To Make Tournament Run
Darryn Peterson has 19.9 PPG and 4.2 RPG in 20 games plays and Tre White has 14.3 PPG with 6.9 RPG. Flory Bidunga has 13.8 PPG with a team-high 9 RPG and Melvin Council Jr. has 13.4 PPG with 4.9 RPG and a team-high 5.2 APG to lead the Jayhawks in assists and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Kansas up to this point in the year. Bryson Tiller also has 8.3 PPG with 6.1 RPG as well so far this season for Kansas. As a team, Kansas is averaging 76.5 PPG on 46.2% shooting from the field, 35.4% from three and 76.7% from the foul line this season.
Kansas has won each of its last 10 games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at T-Mobile Center.
TCU has lost five of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Kansas has won the first half in each of its last nine games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at neutral venues.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
TCU has won each of its last six games.
Kansas has lost each of its last three night games played at neutral venues.
Kansas has lost the first half in five of its last six night games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
Each of Kansas’ last seven night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 144+ points.
Five of TCU’s last six games against AP-ranked opponents at T-Mobile Center have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
Kansas ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (38.7%).
Kansas ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.9).
TCU ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.2).
TCU ranks T40th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (12.0).
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks Prediction
I’m on the Jayhawks here. I get the case to be made for the Horned Frogs off of the win, but I think TCU’s offensive showing in that game was more about Oklahoma State’s flaws defensively and not about TCU scoring. This Horned Frogs team has been dead offensively for the better part of the season and I think Kansas just rolls TCU here. Give me the Jayhawks.
