Tarleton vs California Baptist Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tarleton vs California Baptist prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 6th at the Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center in Riverside, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Tarleton Texans Betting Preview

The Tarleton Texans are 12-17 (7-7) this year after they defeated Abilene Christian by a score of 67-52 in their last game. Tarleton led 37-25 at halftime and held Abilene Christian to just 27 points in the second half in the win. The Texans shot 45.5% from the field, 25% on three-pointers, and 71.4% on free throws in the game. Bubu Benjamin led Tarleton State with 16 points and six rebounds, while Freddy Hicks added 13 points and eight rebounds in the game.

Prior to that win, the Texans lost to UT Arlington by a score of 67-57 but did beat Seattle by a score of 67-64 before that. Tarleton has lost four of their last six games and they are currently tied for third in the WAC standings with a 7-7 record. Tarleton has scored 64.1 points per game and they have allowed 70.1 points per game, while also averaging 30.3 rebounds and 10.9 assists per game this season. Bubu Benjamin is averaging 14.6 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game, while Freddy Hicks is averaging 11.6 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game this year. Tarleton is shooting 43.4% from the field, 74.2% on free throws, and 33% on three-pointers this season. 

California Baptist Lancers Betting Preview

The California Baptist Lancers are 14-14 (7-7) this season after they defeated Utah Tech by a score of 61-57 in their last game. California Baptist trailed 30-26 at halftime, but they outscored Utah Tech by a total of 35-27 in the second half for the win. The Lancers shot 36.2% from the field, 14.3% on three-pointers, and 85% on free throws in the game. Tylen Riley led California Baptist with 24 points and seven rebounds, while Kendal Coleman added 14 points and 18 rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that victory, the Lancers lost to Seattle by a score of 72-48 and Grand Canyon by a score of 66-64. California Baptist has lost three of their last five games and they are currently tied with Tarleton State and Abilene Christian in the WAC standings with a 7-7 record. Cal Baptist has scored 72.2 points per game and they have allowed 71.4 points per game, while also averaging 36.2 rebounds and 11.8 assists per game this season. Kendal Coleman is averaging 11.3 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 0.7 assists per game, while Martel Williams is averaging 9.7 points, 2.1 rebounds, and 1.0 steals per game this year. Cal Baptist is shooting 43.1% from the field, 75.9% on free throws, and 30.8% on three-pointers this season. 

Why California Baptist will beat Tarleton

• Tarleton State has lost each of its last six road games against the Western Athletic Conference.
• The home team has won each of the last four games between Tarleton State and California Baptist.
• Tarleton State has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• California Baptist ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (10.6).
• California Baptist ranks 32nd among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.86).
• Tarleton State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (4.2).
• Tarleton State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (12.8).

Tarleton vs California Baptist Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this contest with a 7-7 record, so this is a big game for the middle of the WAC standings. California Baptist is coming off a win in their last game, but they have scored 64 points or fewer in three straight games. Tarleton has won two of their last three games, but their offense hasn’t been much better. Tarleton won the first meeting with Cal Baptist by a score of 67-57, but they are 0-6 in their last six road games. Take the Lancers here. 

David Racey's Pick: California Baptist -7