Tarleton vs Baylor Prediction 11/14/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tarleton State vs Baylor prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, November 14th at Foster Pavilion in Waco, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Tarleton State Texans Betting Preview

The Tarleton State Texans are 2-2 this year after they defeated Merrimack by a score of 76-62 in their last game. Tarleton State led 34-31 at halftime and added 42 points in the second half for the win. The Texans shot 49.1% from the field, 18.2% on three pointers, and 72% on free throws in the game. Tarleton State out rebounded Merrimack by a total of 39-34, recorded 17 assists, and committed 17 turnovers in the win. Chris Mpaka led Tarleton State with 24 points and nine rebounds, while Freddy Hicks added 18 points and five assists in the game.

Prior to that game, Tarleton State defeated Texas A&M-CC by a score of 85-77, but lost to LSU by a score of 96-60 before that. The Texans have scored 74.3 points per game with 31.0 rebounds and 10.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 82.8 points against per game this season. Dior Johnson is averaging 15.3 points and 2.8 rebounds per game, while Freddy Hicks is averaging 14.8 points and 5.0 rebounds per game for the Texans. Tarleton State is shooting 42.4% from the field, 77.4% on free throws, and 36.4% on three pointers this year. 

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 2-0 this season after they defeated Washington by a score of 78-69 in their last game. Baylor led 38-32 at halftime and scored 40 points in the second half to pick up the solid win. The Bears shot 46.4% from the field, 28.6% on three pointers, and 69.0% on free throws in the game. Baylor was out rebounded by a total of 42-33, recorded 12 assists, and committed nine turnovers in the win. Cameron Carr led the Bears with 16 points and six rebounds, while Tounde Yessoufou added 13 points and five rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that game, Baylor defeated UT Rio Grande by a score of 96-81 to start the season. The Bears have scored 87.0 points per game with 37.5 rebounds and 15.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.0 points against per game this season. Cameron Carr is averaging 22.0 points and 5.5 rebounds per game, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 18.5 points and 6.0 rebounds per game for the Bears. Baylor is shooting 47.9% from the field, 67.2% on free throws, and 33.3% on three pointers this season. 

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Baylor has won each of its last seven home games against non-Conference opponents.
• Tarleton State has lost each of its last seven away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Tarleton State has lost the first half in nine of its last 12 night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Baylor’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Twenty of Tarleton State’s last 23 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.

Tarleton State vs Baylor Prediction 

Baylor comes into this matchup with a 2-0 record to start the season, as they picked up a nice win over Washington last time out. The Bears are shooting nearly 48% from the field this year, but they did allow 81 points to UT Rio Grande in their first game. Tarleton State has won two games in a row as well, but they also have a 36 point and 20 point loss to LSU and SMU this year. The Texans are shooting just 42% from the field and struggled to get stops against those two quality teams. Take Baylor to cover here.

David Racey's Pick: Baylor -23.5