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Syracuse vs Florida State Prediction 3/11/25 College Basketball Picks

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Florida State (17-14) vs Syracuse (13-18)

March 11, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Florida State -2.5 — Over/Under: 151.5

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The Syracuse Orange and Florida State Seminoles meet on Tuesday in college basketball action at Spectrum Center. Here’s a Syracuse vs Florida State prediction. This article will include a Syracuse vs Florida State Pick.

Syracuse Orange Betting Preview

The Syracuse Orange (13-18, 16-13-2 ATS) recorded just three wins over the last month or so, but they did manage to close out the regular season with a home victory over Virginia. Prior to that, the Orange lost a couple of road games to Virginia Tech and SMU, both of which were very tight. Syracuse ended the regular season in 14th place in the ACC Standings with a win behind Florida State.

Syracuse is averaging 75.6 PPG (136th) and is allowing 78.4 PPG (333rd). The Orange are getting 37.2 RPG (95th) and dish out 13.9 APG (186th). J.J. Starling is the team’s top performer with 17.5 PPG, 3.7 RPG, and 2.9 APG. Donnie Freeman has 13.4 PPG and 7.9 RPG, while Eddie Lampkin Jr. contributes 11.6 PPG, a team-high 9.6 RP, and 2.2 APG.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles (17-14, 17-14 ATS) went through their worst period of the campaign as they lost four consecutive games before defeating SMU to conclude the regular season. The Seminoles lost to Louisville, North Carolina, Duke, and Virginia during that negative span, and it was the second time this season they endured a four-game skid. Florida State finished in 9th place in the ACC Standings with the same conference record as Pitt, Virginia, Notre Dame, and Virginia Tech.

Florida State averages 74.9 PPG (158th) and allows 72.7 PPG (204th). The Seminoles are 247th in rebounds (34.7) and 244th in assists (13.2). Jamir Watkins leads the team with 18.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 2.4 APG, and 1.2 SPG. Malique Ewin follows him with 14.4 PPG and a team-high 7.8 RPG, while Daquan Davis chips in 8.7 PPG, 2.3 RPG, a team-high 2.6 APG, and 1.1 SPG.

Why Syracuse will beat Florida State

  • Florida State has lost four of its last five games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
  • Florida State has lost the first half in four of its last five games against Conference opponents at neutral venues.

Why Florida State will beat Syracuse

  • Florida State has won each of its last four games played at neutral venues.
  • Syracuse has lost each of its last four night games played at neutral venues.
  • Syracuse has lost the first half in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Florida State’s last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
  • Four of Syracuse’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Florida State ranks 42nd among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (16.2).
  • Florida State ranks T50th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.7).

Syracuse vs Florida State Prediction

Florida State won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the one they played this season when it was 90-74 in Florida. Seven of those ten duels went Over and three of the past four. Syracuse is playing without its second-best scorer Donnie Freeman, but it still has a slightly more efficient offense than Florida State. On the other hand, the Orange’s defense is rather weak, and the Seminoles will get their chance to punish it throughout the game. I expect both teams to score 75+ points in what should be a close but entertaining contest. Syracuse has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of its last 32 games. I am going with Over.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 151.5

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