| MATCHUP | Stanford Cardinal | Virginia Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 13-4 | 14-2 |
| Where | John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA | |
| When | Saturday, January 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:15 PM EST | |
| TV | The CW Network | |
Virginia Cavaliers Preview
Virginia Cavaliers have a 13-2 record this season and are tied for 4th place in ACC. They have a 9-0 home record and are coming off an 84-60 home win against California. Their previous three games were a 76-61 away win against NC State, a 95-85 away loss against Virginia Tech and a 95-51 home win against American.
Offensively, Virginia averages 86.1 points per game, while allowing 67.6 points per game defensively. The Cavaliers shoot with 48% from the field and grab 42.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.6 assists per game. They average 6.5 blocks per game and 7.1 steals per game defensively.
Thijs De Ridder leads Virginia in scoring, with an average of 16.1 points per game, while shooting with 54.3% from the field and 61.1% from the free throw line. Johann Grunloh is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.9 per game, while Dallin Hall adds a team-high 4.0 assists per game.
Stanford Cardinal Preview
Stanford Cardinal have a 13-3 record this season and are tied for 5th place in ACC. They have a 2-0 road record and are coming off a 69-68 away win against Virginia Tech. Their previous three games were an 80-76 home win against Louisville, a 47-40 home loss against Notre Dame and an 88-80 home win against Cal State Northridge.
Offensively, Stanford averages 78.3 points per game, while allowing 70.7 points per game defensively. The Cardinal shoot with 43% from the field and grab 35.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.2 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 8.4 steals per game defensively.
Ebuka Okorie leads Stanford in scoring, with an average of 22.6 points per game, while shooting with 44.9% from the field and 81.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3.1 assists. Oskar Giltay is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.6 per game.
Stanford Cardinal @ Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends: January 10, 2026
Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win
- Virginia has won each of its last 11 games at John Paul Jones Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Stanford has lost six of its last seven games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Virginia has won the first half in each of its last nine games.
Why the Stanford Cardinal will win
- Stanford has won six of its last seven games.
- Virginia has lost eight of its last 10 day games against Conference opponents.
- Virginia has lost the first half in five of its last six home day games against Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Nineteen of Virginia’s last 20 games against Conference opponents at John Paul Jones Arena have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
- Each of Stanford’s last six day games have produced a total of 149+ points.
Stanford vs Virginia Prediction
In this Stanford vs Virginia Prediction, Virginia is coming as -11.5 home favorites. Both teams have been excellent this season with almost identical overall records and exactly 13 wins each. Virginia has lost only twice this season and has been undefeated in 9 home games, while Stanford has also won both of its road games. Both teams have also almost identical ATS records, so I see no value on either side. They have both been playing lower-scoring games lately, going for 9-2 to the under in their last 11 games combined, with Virginia almost cracking the top-40 of the nation in points allowed. Take the under 147.5 points.